Burnley at Chelsea

Updated

Burnley

9.1%16.6%74.2%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.67Projected Goals 2.30
2Final Score 2

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Brentford+215
T 2-2 at West Ham United+440
L 2-0 vs Bournemouth+256
L 0-3 at Crystal Palace+310
L 5-0 vs Arsenal+850
Chelsea
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Newcastle United-120
T 2-2 at Brentford+114
T 1-1 at Manchester City+790
W 3-1 at Crystal Palace-140
L 4-2 vs Wolverhampton-185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+725+923+800+1000+1009+1000+1009+1039.0
Chelsea-315-360-375-375-380-375-360-321.0
Draw+475+526+550+545+553+545+553+567.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+825-+940--+975+975+1039.0
Chelsea-350--405---410-405-321.0
Draw+500-+545--+550+550+567.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 20.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 10.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +825 to +800
Chelsea ML moved from -354 to -380

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 20.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 10.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +835 to +810
Chelsea ML moved from -390 to -410

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3½-104o3½-105o3½+100o3½+101o3½+100o3½+101o3½+107
Underu3+105u3½-114u3½-115u3½-116u3½-117u3½-116u3½-114u3½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3½+110o3½+108o3-135o3½+100o3½+110o3-135o3½+107
Underu3+115u3½-130u3½-128u3+115u3½-130u3½-130u3½-128u3½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-135 to o3½+110
The Under moved from u3+120 to u3+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.8%
 
No56.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.14%
Exactly 222.65%
Exactly 416.62%
Exactly 64.88%
Exactly 80.77%
 
Exactly 115.26%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.86%
Exactly 72.07%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 051.28%
Exactly 134.25%
Exactly 211.43%
Exactly 32.55%
Exactly 40.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 010.03%
Exactly 123.06%
Exactly 226.52%
Exactly 320.33%
Exactly 411.69%
Exactly 55.38%
Exactly 62.06%
Exactly 70.68%
Exactly 80.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.31%
Exactly 223.89%
Exactly 43.76%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.78%
Exactly 310.94%
Exactly 51.03%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 073.40%
Exactly 122.70%
Exactly 23.51%
Exactly 30.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 034.48%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.55%
Exactly 36.94%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals2.24%
Wins by 3+ goals0.40%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals50.60%
Wins by 3+ goals28.55%
Wins by 4+ goals13.46%
Wins by 5+ goals5.37%
Wins by 6+ goals1.82%
Wins by 7+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Chelsea
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal6.83%
Wins by 2 goals1.85%
Wins by 3 goals0.35%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal23.56%
Wins by 2 goals22.04%
Wins by 3 goals15.10%
Wins by 4 goals8.09%
Wins by 5 goals3.54%
Wins by 6 goals1.31%
Wins by 7 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.86%5.14%
1.579.59%20.41%
2.556.95%43.05%
3.534.55%65.45%
4.517.93%82.07%
5.58.07%91.93%
6.53.19%96.81%
7.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.72%51.28%
1.514.47%85.53%
2.53.03%96.97%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.97%10.03%
1.566.91%33.09%
2.540.39%59.61%
3.520.06%79.94%
4.58.37%91.63%
5.53.00%97.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.69%25.31%
1.539.91%60.09%
2.516.02%83.98%
3.55.08%94.92%
4.51.32%98.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Chelsea
Score012345
0
5.14%
11.83%
13.60%
10.43%
5.99%
2.76%
1
3.43%
7.90%
9.08%
6.96%
4.00%
1.84%
2
1.15%
2.64%
3.03%
2.32%
1.34%
0.61%
3
0.26%
0.59%
0.68%
0.52%
0.30%
0.14%
Burnley
1-03.43%
2-01.15%
2-12.64%
3-00.26%
3-10.59%
3-20.68%
Draw
0-05.14%
1-17.90%
2-23.03%
3-30.52%
Chelsea
0-111.83%
0-213.60%
1-29.08%
0-310.43%
1-36.96%
2-32.32%
0-45.99%
1-44.00%
2-41.34%
3-40.30%
0-52.76%
1-51.84%
2-50.61%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Chelsea
Score012345
0
25.31%
26.95%
14.35%
5.09%
1.36%
0.29%
1
7.83%
8.33%
4.44%
1.57%
0.42%
0.09%
2
1.21%
1.29%
0.69%
0.24%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.12%
0.13%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Burnley
1-07.83%
2-01.21%
2-11.29%
3-00.12%
3-10.13%
Draw
0-025.31%
1-18.33%
2-20.69%
Chelsea
0-126.95%
0-214.35%
1-24.44%
0-35.09%
1-31.57%
2-30.24%
0-41.36%
1-40.42%
0-50.29%