Ajax at Real Sociedad

Updated

Ajax

22.3%24.4%53.3%
Ajax WinDrawReal Sociedad Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.66
0Final Score 2

Real Sociedad

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Maccabi Tel Aviv-330
W 3-0 at Qarabag+160
T 1-1 at Slavia Prague+275
W 0-4 vs Besiktas-105
W 12-13 vs Panathinaikos-215
Real Sociedad
Money Line
L 1-2 at Viktoria Plzen-115
W 2-1 at Maccabi Tel Aviv-150
L 2-1 vs Anderlecht-180
T 1-1 at Nice+235
T 0-0 vs Roma-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+332+331+320+350+327+350+350+365.8
Real Sociedad-121-113-120-115-118-114-113-106.0
Draw+285+259+240+260+253+257+259+269.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+340---+285+320+320+365.8
Real Sociedad-125----125-110-110-106.0
Draw+275---+220+245+245+269.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 10.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +315 to +307
Real Sociedad ML moved from -105 to -115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +325 to +310
No Steam Moves On Real Sociedad ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-141o2½-108o2½+100o2½-112o2½-104o2½-112o2½+100o2½-102
Underu2½+120u2½-108u2½-120u2½-108u2½-116u2½-108u2½-108u2½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130---o2½-115o2½-105o2½-105o2½-102
Underu2½+110---u2½-115u2½-115u2½-115u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.14%
Exactly 224.87%
Exactly 414.44%
Exactly 63.35%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.85%
Exactly 321.88%
Exactly 57.62%
Exactly 71.26%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 037.53%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.03%
Exactly 35.89%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 019.03%
Exactly 131.57%
Exactly 226.19%
Exactly 314.49%
Exactly 46.01%
Exactly 51.99%
Exactly 60.55%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.46%
Exactly 222.00%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 38.96%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 063.52%
Exactly 128.83%
Exactly 26.54%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 046.38%
Exactly 135.63%
Exactly 213.69%
Exactly 33.50%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals7.78%
Wins by 3+ goals2.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals28.78%
Wins by 3+ goals12.41%
Wins by 4+ goals4.37%
Wins by 5+ goals1.28%
Wins by 6+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Real Sociedad
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal14.46%
Wins by 2 goals5.71%
Wins by 3 goals1.65%
Wins by 4 goals0.36%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal24.48%
Wins by 2 goals16.37%
Wins by 3 goals8.04%
Wins by 4 goals3.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.97%
Wins by 6 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.86%7.14%
1.574.01%25.99%
2.549.14%50.86%
3.527.26%72.74%
4.512.82%87.18%
5.55.20%94.80%
6.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.47%37.53%
1.525.69%74.31%
2.57.67%92.33%
3.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.97%19.03%
1.549.40%50.60%
2.523.21%76.79%
3.58.72%91.28%
4.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.54%29.46%
1.534.53%65.47%
2.512.53%87.47%
3.53.57%96.43%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Real Sociedad
Score012345
0
7.14%
11.85%
9.83%
5.44%
2.25%
0.75%
1
7.00%
11.61%
9.63%
5.33%
2.21%
0.73%
2
3.43%
5.69%
4.72%
2.61%
1.08%
0.36%
3
1.12%
1.86%
1.54%
0.85%
0.35%
0.12%
4
0.27%
0.46%
0.38%
0.21%
0.09%
0.03%
Ajax
1-07.00%
2-03.43%
2-15.69%
3-01.12%
3-11.86%
3-21.54%
4-00.27%
4-10.46%
4-20.38%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-07.14%
1-111.61%
2-24.72%
3-30.85%
Real Sociedad
0-111.85%
0-29.83%
1-29.63%
0-35.44%
1-35.33%
2-32.61%
0-42.25%
1-42.21%
2-41.08%
3-40.35%
0-50.75%
1-50.73%
2-50.36%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Real Sociedad
Score01234
0
29.46%
22.63%
8.69%
2.23%
0.43%
1
13.37%
10.27%
3.95%
1.01%
0.19%
2
3.03%
2.33%
0.90%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.46%
0.35%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Ajax
1-013.37%
2-03.03%
2-12.33%
3-00.46%
3-10.35%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-029.46%
1-110.27%
2-20.90%
Real Sociedad
0-122.63%
0-28.69%
1-23.95%
0-32.23%
1-31.01%
2-30.23%
0-40.43%
1-40.19%