Ajax at Qaraba?

Updated

Ajax

45.5%24.2%30.3%
Ajax WinDrawQaraba? Win
1.64Projected Goals 1.30
3Final Score 0

Qarabag

Last Games

Ajax
Money Line
T 1-1 at Slavia Prague+275
W 0-4 vs Besiktas-105
W 12-13 vs Panathinaikos-215
W 1-0 at Panathinaikos+180
W 3-1 at Vojvodina-220
Qarabag
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Malmo+100
L 0-3 at Tottenham+1575

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+125+160+155+167+164+167+167+176.5
Qaraba?+200+163+155+162+149+162+163+171.3
Draw+240+263+245+258+258+258+263+270.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+125---+105+160+160+176.5
Qaraba?+195---+185+165+185+171.3
Draw+275---+245+245+245+270.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Qaraba?: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 30.0%
Qaraba?: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Qaraba?: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +120 to +112
Qaraba? ML moved from +164 to +151

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Qaraba?: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 20.0%
Qaraba?: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Qaraba?: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
Qaraba? ML moved from +180 to +165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3-118o3-115o3-112o3-111o3-112o3-111o3-102
Underu3-120u3+101u3-105u3-108u3-109u3-108u3+101u3+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100---o3-120o3-120o3-120o3-102
Underu3-120---u3-110u3+100u3+100u3+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-105 to o3-120
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½-125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.6%
 
No41.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.31%
Exactly 222.88%
Exactly 416.43%
Exactly 64.72%
Exactly 80.73%
 
Exactly 115.58%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.65%
Exactly 71.98%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 019.40%
Exactly 131.81%
Exactly 226.09%
Exactly 314.26%
Exactly 45.85%
Exactly 51.92%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Qarabag
Exactly 027.36%
Exactly 135.46%
Exactly 222.98%
Exactly 39.93%
Exactly 43.22%
Exactly 50.83%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.68%
Exactly 223.73%
Exactly 43.65%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.91%
Exactly 310.75%
Exactly 50.99%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 046.80%
Exactly 135.54%
Exactly 213.49%
Exactly 33.41%
Exactly 40.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Qarabag
Exactly 054.87%
Exactly 132.93%
Exactly 29.88%
Exactly 31.98%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals23.59%
Wins by 3+ goals9.84%
Wins by 4+ goals3.37%
Wins by 5+ goals0.96%
Qarabag
Wins by 2+ goals12.97%
Wins by 3+ goals4.38%
Wins by 4+ goals1.19%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Qarabag
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.88%
Wins by 2 goals13.75%
Wins by 3 goals6.47%
Wins by 4 goals2.41%
Wins by 5 goals0.74%
Qarabag
Wins by 1 goal17.29%
Wins by 2 goals8.58%
Wins by 3 goals3.19%
Wins by 4 goals0.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.69%5.31%
1.579.11%20.89%
2.556.24%43.76%
3.533.85%66.15%
4.517.41%82.59%
5.57.76%92.24%
6.53.04%96.96%
7.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.60%19.40%
1.548.79%51.21%
2.522.70%77.30%
3.58.44%91.56%
4.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals Qarabag Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.64%27.36%
1.537.18%62.82%
2.514.20%85.80%
3.54.27%95.73%
4.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.32%25.68%
1.539.41%60.59%
2.515.68%84.32%
3.54.93%95.07%
4.51.27%98.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Qarabag
Score012345
0
5.31%
6.88%
4.46%
1.93%
0.62%
0.16%
1
8.70%
11.28%
7.31%
3.16%
1.02%
0.27%
2
7.14%
9.25%
5.99%
2.59%
0.84%
0.22%
3
3.90%
5.06%
3.28%
1.42%
0.46%
0.12%
4
1.60%
2.07%
1.34%
0.58%
0.19%
0.05%
5
0.52%
0.68%
0.44%
0.19%
0.06%
0.02%
Ajax
1-08.70%
2-07.14%
2-19.25%
3-03.90%
3-15.06%
3-23.28%
4-01.60%
4-12.07%
4-21.34%
4-30.58%
5-00.52%
5-10.68%
5-20.44%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.31%
1-111.28%
2-25.99%
3-31.42%
4-40.19%
Qarabag
0-16.88%
0-24.46%
1-27.31%
0-31.93%
1-33.16%
2-32.59%
0-40.62%
1-41.02%
2-40.84%
3-40.46%
0-50.16%
1-50.27%
2-50.22%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Qarabag
Score01234
0
25.68%
15.41%
4.62%
0.93%
0.14%
1
19.50%
11.70%
3.51%
0.70%
0.11%
2
7.40%
4.44%
1.33%
0.27%
0.04%
3
1.87%
1.12%
0.34%
0.07%
0.01%
4
0.36%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-019.50%
2-07.40%
2-14.44%
3-01.87%
3-11.12%
3-20.34%
4-00.36%
4-10.21%
Draw
0-025.68%
1-111.70%
2-21.33%
Qarabag
0-115.41%
0-24.62%
1-23.51%
0-30.93%
1-30.70%
2-30.27%
0-40.14%
1-40.11%