Lazio at Ajax

Updated

Lazio

35.5%27.3%37.3%
Lazio WinDrawAjax Win
1.21Projected Goals 1.25
3Final Score 1

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Lazio
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Ludogorets-375
W 1-2 vs Porto+135
W 2-0 at Twente+200
W 1-4 vs Nice-110
W 3-0 at Dynamo Kyiv+130
Ajax
Money Line
L 0-2 at Real Sociedad+320
W 0-5 vs Maccabi Tel Aviv-330
W 3-0 at Qarabag+160
T 1-1 at Slavia Prague+275
W 0-4 vs Besiktas-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lazio+213+213+210+222+217+222+222+233.2
Ajax+127+127+120+124+116+124+127+131.8
Draw+256+257+240+260+255+260+260+272.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lazio+205---+185+215+215+233.2
Ajax+125---+110+125+125+131.8
Draw+260---+235+245+245+272.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lazio: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lazio: 30.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lazio: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lazio ML moved from +201 to +190
Ajax ML moved from +133 to +122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lazio: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lazio: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lazio: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lazio ML moved from +205 to +195
No Steam Moves On Ajax ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+109o3+115o2¾-118o2¾-114o2¾-114o2¾-114o2¾-114o2¾-104
Underu3-128u3-136u2¾-102u2¾-106u2¾-106u2¾-106u2¾-102u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110---o2½-130o2½-145o2½-130o2¾-104
Underu3-130---u2½+100u2½+125u2½+125u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-110 to o2½-145
The Under moved from u2½+125 to u2½-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.1%
 
No49.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.55%
Exactly 225.85%
Exactly 413.03%
Exactly 62.63%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.02%
Exactly 321.20%
Exactly 56.41%
Exactly 70.92%
Exact Goals Scored - Lazio
Exactly 029.79%
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 221.84%
Exactly 38.82%
Exactly 42.67%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 028.69%
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 222.36%
Exactly 39.31%
Exactly 42.91%
Exactly 50.73%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.02%
Exactly 220.76%
Exactly 42.24%
 
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 37.88%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lazio
Exactly 057.08%
Exactly 132.00%
Exactly 28.97%
Exactly 31.68%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 056.10%
Exactly 132.43%
Exactly 29.37%
Exactly 31.81%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lazio
Wins by 2+ goals15.02%
Wins by 3+ goals4.94%
Wins by 4+ goals1.30%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals16.19%
Wins by 3+ goals5.47%
Wins by 4+ goals1.48%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Lazio
Ajax
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Lazio
Wins by 1 goal20.42%
Wins by 2 goals10.09%
Wins by 3 goals3.64%
Wins by 4 goals1.03%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.05%
Wins by 2 goals10.72%
Wins by 3 goals3.99%
Wins by 4 goals1.16%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.45%8.55%
1.570.43%29.57%
2.544.57%55.43%
3.523.38%76.62%
4.510.35%89.65%
5.53.94%96.06%
6.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Lazio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.21%29.79%
1.534.13%65.87%
2.512.29%87.71%
3.53.47%96.53%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.31%28.69%
1.535.49%64.51%
2.513.12%86.88%
3.53.81%96.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.98%32.02%
1.531.51%68.49%
2.510.75%89.25%
3.52.87%97.13%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lazio
Ajax
Score012345
0
8.55%
10.67%
6.66%
2.77%
0.87%
0.22%
1
10.35%
12.92%
8.07%
3.36%
1.05%
0.26%
2
6.27%
7.82%
4.88%
2.03%
0.63%
0.16%
3
2.53%
3.16%
1.97%
0.82%
0.26%
0.06%
4
0.77%
0.96%
0.60%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.19%
0.23%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Lazio
1-010.35%
2-06.27%
2-17.82%
3-02.53%
3-13.16%
3-21.97%
4-00.77%
4-10.96%
4-20.60%
4-30.25%
5-00.19%
5-10.23%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-08.55%
1-112.92%
2-24.88%
3-30.82%
Ajax
0-110.67%
0-26.66%
1-28.07%
0-32.77%
1-33.36%
2-32.03%
0-40.87%
1-41.05%
2-40.63%
3-40.26%
0-50.22%
1-50.26%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Lazio
Ajax
Score01234
0
32.02%
18.51%
5.35%
1.03%
0.15%
1
17.95%
10.38%
3.00%
0.58%
0.08%
2
5.03%
2.91%
0.84%
0.16%
0.02%
3
0.94%
0.54%
0.16%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.13%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Lazio
1-017.95%
2-05.03%
2-12.91%
3-00.94%
3-10.54%
3-20.16%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-032.02%
1-110.38%
2-20.84%
Ajax
0-118.51%
0-25.35%
1-23.00%
0-31.03%
1-30.58%
2-30.16%
0-40.15%