France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196

1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-115
u2½+103

Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rennes
Nice		30.4%
42.4%		27.2%
+183
+165
+185
+145
1
2		-0.99085-0.94788-0.85710
Nantes
Brest		19.8%
57.4%		22.8%
+232
+152
+215
+145
0
2		-0.93961-0.94317-0.55577
Lens
Toulouse		46.9%
27.4%		25.6%
-157
+437
-160
+390
1
0		-0.51443-0.53623-0.75670
Auxerre
Marseille		8.5%
76.3%		15.1%
+1054
-324
+815
-335
1
2		-0.29194-0.31173-0.27026
Lorient
Paris Saint-Germain		4.2%
86.1%		9.6%

+1150
-625
3
1		-2.57755-3.16676
Nice
Troyes		45.2%
27.7%		27.1%
-144
+438
-135
+350
1
0		-0.55125-0.60605-0.79421
Angers
Rennes		10.1%
73.2%		16.7%
+1000
-322
+900
-350
2
4		-0.29503-0.30028-0.31180
Reims
Clermont Foot		30.2%
40.6%		29.2%
+125
+228
+130
+200
0
1		-1.21382-1.15103-0.90108
Montpellier
Monaco		7.5%
79.5%		13.0%
+510
-182
+470
-205
4
0		-1.83465-1.79084-2.59561
Ajaccio
Lille		9.3%
72.2%		18.5%
+1163
-349
+1350
-450
0
3		-0.28187-0.25049-0.32541
Lyon
Strasbourg		46.6%
27.9%		25.5%
+174
+170
+170
+170
2
1		-1.03614-1.03176-0.76462
Marseille
Lyon		24.9%
50.6%		24.5%
+181
+165
+165
+165
2
1		-1.05194-1.02223-1.39022
Rennes
Montpellier		46.9%
27.5%		25.6%
+141
+229
+125
+225
0
1		-1.20381-1.22806-1.29095
Clermont Foot
Nice		14.7%
64.3%		21.0%
+457
-135
+385
-135
2
1		-1.73443-1.62862-1.91596
Troyes
Nantes		19.9%
56.0%		24.1%
+600
-194
+530
-200
2
2		-1.54595-1.53294-1.42258
Toulouse
Lorient		20.0%
56.9%		23.0%
+184
+159
+185
+140
1
0		-1.06352-1.09919-1.60824
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.