France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196
+145
+190
1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lens
Ajaccio		45.1%
26.6%		28.3%
+135
+233
+130
+230
0
0		-1.19859-1.21221-1.26266
Angers
Auxerre		31.4%
41.4%		27.2%
+209
+148
+210
+140
2
2		-1.22550-1.23533-1.30067
Clermont Foot
Reims		18.1%
56.9%		25.0%
+332
+103
+295
+100
4
2		-1.48386-1.42412-1.70937
Montpellier
Paris Saint-Germain		5.7%
82.7%		11.7%
+3168
-1400
+3000
-2000
2
5		-0.09664-0.09883-0.19043
Rennes
Monaco		25.1%
50.0%		25.0%
+272
+111
+265
+100
1
1		-1.31729-1.33139-1.38766
Lille
Nantes		40.9%
30.6%		28.5%
+144
+223
+130
+220
1
1		-1.23725-1.24299-1.25628
Reims
Marseille		18.3%
57.2%		24.5%
+475
-156
+510
-175
1
4		-0.52806-0.50106-0.55818
Lorient
Rennes		8.3%
76.4%		15.3%
+573
-195
+575
-220
1
0		-1.92868-1.95680-2.48447
Nantes
Angers		34.7%
36.6%		28.7%
+145
+223
+140
+210
0
0		-1.19515-1.21362-1.24876
Auxerre
Lille		7.7%
77.6%		14.7%
+470
-156
+410
-150
1
4		-0.52362-0.56198-0.25365
Brest
Lens		21.5%
55.3%		23.1%
+480
-160
+430
-160
2
3		-0.51386-0.52680-0.59236
Troyes
Montpellier		19.6%
57.1%		23.3%
+277
+120
+270
+105
2
3		-0.81103-0.76873-0.56061
Nice
Toulouse		35.4%
36.8%		27.8%
+200
+185
+185
+165
1
1		-1.22024-1.21396-1.27981
Paris Saint-Germain
Clermont Foot		74.3%
9.1%		16.6%
-420
+1150
-450
+1100
5
0		-0.24367-0.24914-0.29768
Monaco
Strasbourg		41.6%
31.8%		26.6%
+209
+161
+205
+150
2
1		-1.14159-1.15471-0.87705
Ajaccio
Lyon		6.4%
79.5%		14.1%
+841
-265
+750
-275
1
2		-0.34629-0.35988-0.22916
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.