Dortmund at Leverkusen

Updated

Dortmund

33.6%24.7%41.6%
Dortmund WinDrawLeverkusen Win
1.35Projected Goals 1.54
1Final Score 1

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Borussia Monchengladbach-220
L 1-2 at VfB Stuttgart+168
L 4-0 vs Bayern Munich+295
T 3-3 at Eintracht Frankfurt+125
W 0-1 vs Werder Bremen-370
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Money Line
W 3-0 at Werder Bremen-230
W 0-4 vs Union Berlin-275
W 3-2 at Hoffenheim-185
W 1-2 vs Freiburg-420
W 2-1 at Wolfsburg-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+346+388+370+390+400+390+400+407.0
Leverkusen-140-155-160-157-160-157-155-144.1
Draw+329+341+350+355+355+355+355+370.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+370-+365-+320+370+370+407.0
Leverkusen-155--160--175-160-160-144.1
Draw+335-+350-+300+350+350+370.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 50.0%
Leverkusen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 10.0%
Leverkusen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +376 to +368
Leverkusen ML moved from -146 to -152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 50.0%
Leverkusen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Leverkusen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Dortmund ML
Leverkusen ML moved from -150 to -160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-103o3½+106o3¼-120o3¼-115o3¼-109o3¼-115o3¼-109o3¼-104
Underu3½-115u3½-126u3¼+100u3¼-105u3¼-105u3¼-105u3½-126u3¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-110o3½+115o3½+115-o3½-105o3½+100o3½+115o3¼-104
Underu3½-110u3½-135u3½-135-u3½-125u3½-120u3½-120u3¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.3%
 
No41.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.54%
Exactly 223.19%
Exactly 416.17%
Exactly 64.51%
Exactly 80.67%
 
Exactly 116.04%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 59.35%
Exactly 71.86%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 025.75%
Exactly 134.93%
Exactly 223.70%
Exactly 310.72%
Exactly 43.64%
Exactly 50.99%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 021.53%
Exactly 133.07%
Exactly 225.39%
Exactly 313.00%
Exactly 44.99%
Exactly 51.53%
Exactly 60.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.20%
Exactly 223.50%
Exactly 43.51%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.09%
Exactly 310.49%
Exactly 50.94%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 053.35%
Exactly 133.52%
Exactly 210.53%
Exactly 32.20%
Exactly 40.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 049.12%
Exactly 134.92%
Exactly 212.41%
Exactly 32.94%
Exactly 40.52%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals15.00%
Wins by 3+ goals5.29%
Wins by 4+ goals1.50%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 2+ goals20.48%
Wins by 3+ goals8.04%
Wins by 4+ goals2.55%
Wins by 5+ goals0.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal18.61%
Wins by 2 goals9.71%
Wins by 3 goals3.79%
Wins by 4 goals1.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 1 goal21.06%
Wins by 2 goals12.44%
Wins by 3 goals5.49%
Wins by 4 goals1.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.46%5.54%
1.578.42%21.58%
2.555.23%44.77%
3.532.87%67.13%
4.516.70%83.30%
5.57.35%92.65%
6.52.84%97.16%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.25%25.75%
1.539.32%60.68%
2.515.62%84.38%
3.54.90%95.10%
4.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.47%21.53%
1.545.40%54.60%
2.520.02%79.98%
3.57.02%92.98%
4.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.80%26.20%
1.538.70%61.30%
2.515.20%84.80%
3.54.71%95.29%
4.51.20%98.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Score012345
0
5.54%
8.51%
6.54%
3.35%
1.28%
0.39%
1
7.52%
11.55%
8.87%
4.54%
1.74%
0.54%
2
5.10%
7.84%
6.02%
3.08%
1.18%
0.36%
3
2.31%
3.54%
2.72%
1.39%
0.53%
0.16%
4
0.78%
1.20%
0.92%
0.47%
0.18%
0.06%
5
0.21%
0.33%
0.25%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
Dortmund
1-07.52%
2-05.10%
2-17.84%
3-02.31%
3-13.54%
3-22.72%
4-00.78%
4-11.20%
4-20.92%
4-30.47%
5-00.21%
5-10.33%
5-20.25%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-05.54%
1-111.55%
2-26.02%
3-31.39%
4-40.18%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-18.51%
0-26.54%
1-28.87%
0-33.35%
1-34.54%
2-33.08%
0-41.28%
1-41.74%
2-41.18%
3-40.53%
0-50.39%
1-50.54%
2-50.36%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Score01234
0
26.20%
18.63%
6.62%
1.57%
0.28%
1
16.46%
11.70%
4.16%
0.99%
0.18%
2
5.17%
3.68%
1.31%
0.31%
0.06%
3
1.08%
0.77%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.17%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-016.46%
2-05.17%
2-13.68%
3-01.08%
3-10.77%
3-20.27%
4-00.17%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-026.20%
1-111.70%
2-21.31%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-118.63%
0-26.62%
1-24.16%
0-31.57%
1-30.99%
2-30.31%
0-40.28%
1-40.18%