Dortmund at Holstein Kiel

Updated

Dortmund

69.1%16.9%14.0%
Dortmund WinDrawWin
2.53Projected Goals 1.07

Holstein Kiel

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+265
W 3-1 at Wolfsburg+110
T 1-1 vs Hoffenheim-290
T 1-1 at Borussia Monchengladbach+100
T 1-1 vs Bayern Munich+360
Holstein Kiel
Money Line
L 2-3 at Freiburg+560
W 1-5 vs Augsburg+262
L 1-4 at Borussia Monchengladbach+595
L 2-0 vs RB Leipzig+570
L 1-3 at FC St. Pauli+420

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund-220-201-205-195-195-195-195-176.4
Holstein Kiel+500+490+460+490+490+490+490+511.1
Draw+420+393+400+387+387+387+400+404.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund-205--215---205-205-176.4
Holstein Kiel+480-+480--+480+480+511.1
Draw+385-+390--+385+390+404.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 20.0%
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from -200 to -210
Holstein Kiel ML moved from +460 to +440

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 20.0%
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Dortmund ML
No Steam Moves On Holstein Kiel ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-115o3½+107o3¼-112o3¼-118o3¼-118o3¼-118o3¼-112o3¼-107
Underu3¼-105u3½-125u3¼-108u3¼-102u3¼-102u3¼-102u3½-125u3¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110-o3½+110--o3½+110o3½+110o3¼-107
Underu3½-130-u3½-130--u3½-130u3½-130u3¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes60.4%
 
No39.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.73%
Exactly 217.70%
Exactly 419.12%
Exactly 68.27%
Exactly 81.91%
Exactly 100.28%
 
Exactly 19.83%
Exactly 321.24%
Exactly 513.77%
Exactly 74.25%
Exactly 90.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 07.94%
Exactly 120.11%
Exactly 225.48%
Exactly 321.51%
Exactly 413.63%
Exactly 56.91%
Exactly 62.92%
Exactly 71.06%
Exactly 80.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 034.40%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.59%
Exactly 36.97%
Exactly 41.86%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.88%
Exactly 226.24%
Exactly 46.08%
Exactly 60.56%
 
Exactly 131.47%
Exactly 314.58%
Exactly 52.03%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 030.94%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 221.29%
Exactly 38.32%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 061.01%
Exactly 130.15%
Exactly 27.45%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals47.45%
Wins by 3+ goals27.59%
Wins by 4+ goals13.61%
Wins by 5+ goals5.73%
Wins by 6+ goals2.06%
Holstein Kiel
Wins by 2+ goals4.80%
Wins by 3+ goals1.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Holstein Kiel
6
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal21.57%
Wins by 2 goals19.87%
Wins by 3 goals13.98%
Wins by 4 goals7.87%
Wins by 5 goals3.68%
Wins by 6 goals1.46%
Holstein Kiel
Wins by 1 goal9.08%
Wins by 2 goals3.51%
Wins by 3 goals1.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.27%2.73%
1.587.44%12.56%
2.569.74%30.26%
3.548.50%51.50%
4.529.37%70.63%
5.515.60%84.40%
6.57.33%92.67%
7.53.08%96.92%
8.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.06%7.94%
1.571.95%28.05%
2.546.48%53.52%
3.524.96%75.04%
4.511.34%88.66%
5.54.43%95.57%
6.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Holstein Kiel Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.60%34.40%
1.528.89%71.11%
2.59.31%90.69%
3.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.12%18.88%
1.549.65%50.35%
2.523.41%76.59%
3.58.83%91.17%
4.52.76%97.24%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Holstein Kiel
Score01234
0
2.73%
2.91%
1.55%
0.55%
0.15%
1
6.92%
7.38%
3.94%
1.40%
0.37%
2
8.76%
9.35%
4.99%
1.78%
0.47%
3
7.40%
7.90%
4.21%
1.50%
0.40%
4
4.69%
5.00%
2.67%
0.95%
0.25%
5
2.38%
2.53%
1.35%
0.48%
0.13%
6
1.00%
1.07%
0.57%
0.20%
0.05%
Dortmund
1-06.92%
2-08.76%
2-19.35%
3-07.40%
3-17.90%
3-24.21%
4-04.69%
4-15.00%
4-22.67%
4-30.95%
5-02.38%
5-12.53%
5-21.35%
5-30.48%
5-40.13%
6-01.00%
6-11.07%
6-20.57%
6-30.20%
Draw
0-02.73%
1-17.38%
2-24.99%
3-31.50%
4-40.25%
Holstein Kiel
0-12.91%
0-21.55%
1-23.94%
0-30.55%
1-31.40%
2-31.78%
0-40.15%
1-40.37%
2-40.47%
3-40.40%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Holstein Kiel
Score0123
0
18.88%
9.33%
2.30%
0.38%
1
22.14%
10.94%
2.70%
0.45%
2
12.99%
6.42%
1.59%
0.26%
3
5.08%
2.51%
0.62%
0.10%
4
1.49%
0.74%
0.18%
0.03%
5
0.35%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Dortmund
1-022.14%
2-012.99%
2-16.42%
3-05.08%
3-12.51%
3-20.62%
4-01.49%
4-10.74%
4-20.18%
5-00.35%
5-10.17%
Draw
0-018.88%
1-110.94%
2-21.59%
3-30.10%
Holstein Kiel
0-19.33%
0-22.30%
1-22.70%
0-30.38%
1-30.45%
2-30.26%