Holstein Kiel at Freiburg

Updated

Holstein Kiel

8.4%13.3%78.2%
WinDrawFreiburg Win
0.86Projected Goals 2.84
2Final Score 3

Freiburg

Last 5 Games

Holstein Kiel
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Augsburg+262
L 1-4 at Borussia Monchengladbach+595
L 2-0 vs RB Leipzig+570
L 1-3 at FC St. Pauli+420
L 3-0 vs Mainz 05+225
Freiburg
Money Line
L 1-5 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+700
W 2-3 vs Wolfsburg+135
T 1-1 at Hoffenheim+186
W 1-3 vs Borussia Monchengladbach+105
L 0-4 at Dortmund+337

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Holstein Kiel+600+569+500+565+542+565+569+589.0
Freiburg-260-221-220-210-225-210-210-188.8
Draw+420+396+400+380+383+380+400+397.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Holstein Kiel+645-+538-+550+560+560+589.0
Freiburg-260--220--310-235-220-188.8
Draw+415-+380-+365+400+400+397.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Holstein Kiel: 0.0%
Freiburg: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Holstein Kiel: 0.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Holstein Kiel ML moved from +525 to +500
Freiburg ML moved from -214 to -221

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Holstein Kiel: 0.0%
Freiburg: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Holstein Kiel: 0.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Holstein Kiel ML moved from +650 to +538
No Steam Moves On Freiburg ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3-129o3¼+102o3¼+103o3¼+102o3¼+103o3-129o3¼+112
Underu3-110u3+110u3¼-122u3¼-123u3¼-124u3¼-123u3¼-122u3¼-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-120o3-125-o3-110o3-110o3-110o3¼+112
Underu3-115u3+100u3+105-u3-120u3-110u3+105u3¼-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.1%
 
No45.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.48%
Exactly 216.94%
Exactly 419.30%
Exactly 68.80%
Exactly 82.15%
Exactly 100.33%
 
Exactly 19.16%
Exactly 320.88%
Exactly 514.28%
Exactly 74.65%
Exactly 90.88%
Exactly 110.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 042.51%
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 215.55%
Exactly 34.44%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 05.83%
Exactly 116.56%
Exactly 223.54%
Exactly 322.31%
Exactly 415.85%
Exactly 59.01%
Exactly 64.27%
Exactly 71.73%
Exactly 80.62%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.05%
Exactly 226.45%
Exactly 46.46%
Exactly 60.63%
 
Exactly 130.90%
Exactly 315.10%
Exactly 52.21%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 067.30%
Exactly 126.65%
Exactly 25.28%
Exactly 30.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 026.82%
Exactly 135.29%
Exactly 223.23%
Exactly 310.19%
Exactly 43.35%
Exactly 50.88%
Exactly 60.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Holstein Kiel
Wins by 2+ goals2.45%
Wins by 3+ goals0.55%
Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals58.29%
Wins by 3+ goals37.26%
Wins by 4+ goals20.41%
Wins by 5+ goals9.64%
Wins by 6+ goals3.96%
Wins by 7+ goals1.41%
Wins by 8+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Holstein Kiel
Freiburg
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Holstein Kiel
Wins by 1 goal5.98%
Wins by 2 goals1.90%
Wins by 3 goals0.45%
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal19.87%
Wins by 2 goals21.03%
Wins by 3 goals16.86%
Wins by 4 goals10.76%
Wins by 5 goals5.68%
Wins by 6 goals2.55%
Wins by 7 goals0.99%
Wins by 8 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.52%2.48%
1.588.36%11.64%
2.571.42%28.58%
3.550.55%49.45%
4.531.24%68.76%
5.516.96%83.04%
6.58.16%91.84%
7.53.52%96.48%
8.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Holstein Kiel Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.49%42.51%
1.521.13%78.87%
2.55.57%94.43%
3.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.17%5.83%
1.577.61%22.39%
2.554.07%45.93%
3.531.76%68.24%
4.515.90%84.10%
5.56.89%93.11%
6.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.95%18.05%
1.551.05%48.95%
2.524.60%75.40%
3.59.50%90.50%
4.53.04%96.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Holstein Kiel
Freiburg
Score012345
0
2.48%
7.04%
10.01%
9.48%
6.74%
3.83%
1
2.12%
6.02%
8.56%
8.11%
5.77%
3.28%
2
0.91%
2.58%
3.66%
3.47%
2.47%
1.40%
3
0.26%
0.73%
1.04%
0.99%
0.70%
0.40%
Holstein Kiel
1-02.12%
2-00.91%
2-12.58%
3-00.26%
3-10.73%
3-21.04%
Draw
0-02.48%
1-16.02%
2-23.66%
3-30.99%
4-40.15%
Freiburg
0-17.04%
0-210.01%
1-28.56%
0-39.48%
1-38.11%
2-33.47%
0-46.74%
1-45.77%
2-42.47%
3-40.70%
0-53.83%
1-53.28%
2-51.40%
3-50.40%

Correct Score - First Half

Holstein Kiel
Freiburg
Score0123456
0
18.05%
23.75%
15.63%
6.86%
2.26%
0.59%
0.13%
1
7.15%
9.41%
6.19%
2.72%
0.89%
0.24%
0.05%
2
1.42%
1.86%
1.23%
0.54%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.19%
0.25%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Holstein Kiel
1-07.15%
2-01.42%
2-11.86%
3-00.19%
3-10.25%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-018.05%
1-19.41%
2-21.23%
Freiburg
0-123.75%
0-215.63%
1-26.19%
0-36.86%
1-32.72%
2-30.54%
0-42.26%
1-40.89%
2-40.18%
0-50.59%
1-50.24%
0-60.13%