German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
23.5%
54.6%
21.9%
+315
-115

1.21
1.96
3.17
o2½-114
u2½+100

Games for Nov 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Augsburg
RB Leipzig
8.2%
78.2%
13.6%
+1300
-450
+1065
-450
2
3
-0.22972-0.24649-0.24612
Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart
47.8%
28.4%
23.8%
+138
+200
+138
+185
3
3
-1.33181-1.33876-1.43662
Schalke 04
Hoffenheim
13.6%
69.2%
17.2%
+298
-105
+300
-110
0
2
-0.69197-0.68699-0.36827
VfB Stuttgart
VfL Bochum
41.2%
33.1%
25.7%
+149
+212
+130
+220
3
2
-0.93532-0.88201-0.88741
Wolfsburg
Borussia Monchengladbach
20.8%
57.4%
21.8%
+180
+152
+185
+138
0
2
-0.94466-0.91113-0.55551
RB Leipzig
Hertha BSC
52.5%
24.4%
23.1%
-143
+454
-155
+425
1
0
-0.55212-0.54504-0.64499
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
22.0%
56.5%
21.5%
+315
-109
+282
-115
1
3
-0.67297-0.67072-0.57049
FC Koln
Augsburg
38.8%
35.2%
26.0%
+122
+255
+120
+241
3
1
-0.82344-0.82542-0.94626
Bayern Munich
Freiburg
58.5%
20.0%
21.4%
-205
+575
-225
+573
1
0
-0.41738-0.40591-0.53541
Werder Bremen
Mainz 05
24.7%
52.0%
23.3%
+405
-139
+360
-131
2
2
-1.42678-1.39914-1.45607
Union Berlin
Dortmund
7.5%
79.9%
12.6%
+440
-148
+440
-155
1
2
-0.53609-0.54611-0.22437
Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
33.1%
41.9%
25.0%
+234
+121
+215
+120
2
1
-1.22438-1.18951-1.10482
Borussia Monchengladbach
FC Koln
27.5%
49.2%
23.3%
+233
+127
+215
+122
0
0
-1.29328-1.32358-1.45667
Dortmund
Bayern Munich
12.7%
71.0%
16.3%
+489
-185
+475
-205
2
4
-0.45086-0.43857-0.34305
Hertha BSC
Freiburg
16.1%
64.3%
19.6%
+384
-113
+375
-120
1
1
-1.27740-1.32426-1.63189
Augsburg
Wolfsburg
21.0%
56.4%
22.6%
+498
-171
+490
-165
2
2
-1.52083-1.46486-1.48589
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (9-0-2, 29 pts)22.34.37.474.486.2%99.5%0.4%0.0%0.0%
2Eintracht Frankfurt (7-2-2, 23 pts)16.29.48.557.00.8%52.6%26.2%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (6-2-3, 21 pts)16.68.39.158.92.5%65.9%21.9%0.0%0.0%
4Bayer 04 Leverkusen (5-1-5, 20 pts)17.75.710.663.89.7%89.1%8.1%0.0%0.0%
5Dortmund (6-4-1, 19 pts)16.010.77.355.30.6%39.8%31.9%0.0%0.0%
6Borussia Monchengladbach (5-4-2, 17 pts)12.712.78.646.70.0%4.9%15.5%0.4%0.3%
7Freiburg (5-4-2, 17 pts)14.111.68.350.50.1%13.6%23.5%0.3%0.1%
8Mainz 05 (4-3-4, 16 pts)11.212.310.544.00.0%2.7%7.7%2.2%0.5%
9VfB Stuttgart (4-3-4, 16 pts)14.09.710.252.30.0%22.7%31.1%0.0%0.0%
10Union Berlin (4-3-4, 16 pts)12.211.410.446.90.1%4.0%13.1%0.6%0.4%
11Wolfsburg (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.712.79.644.70.0%2.9%9.7%1.4%0.5%
12Werder Bremen (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.213.29.743.20.0%1.2%5.4%3.7%1.4%
13Hoffenheim (3-5-3, 12 pts)10.214.49.440.00.0%0.5%2.7%7.0%3.1%
14Augsburg (3-5-3, 12 pts)10.214.49.440.00.0%0.6%2.2%6.4%3.9%
15FC Heidenheim (3-7-1, 10 pts)8.917.87.334.10.0%0.0%0.5%19.5%19.3%
16FC St. Pauli (2-7-2, 8 pts)7.718.18.231.30.0%0.0%0.1%24.7%35.7%
17Holstein Kiel (1-8-2, 5 pts)6.319.87.926.70.0%0.0%0.0%14.2%72.0%
18VfL Bochum (0-9-2, 2 pts)6.619.28.328.00.0%0.0%0.0%19.6%62.8%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.