German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
23.5%
54.6%
21.9%
+315
-115

1.21
1.96
3.17
o2½-114
u2½+100

Games for Nov 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Dortmund
Schalke 04
58.7%
20.5%
20.7%
-115
+341
-120
+330
2
2
-1.37117-1.36543-1.57340
Mainz 05
Hertha BSC
34.0%
40.1%
25.9%
+135
+220
+130
+215
1
1
-1.26585-1.29000-1.35100
VfB Stuttgart
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.7%
59.6%
20.7%
+277
+114
+265
+110
1
1
-1.26051-1.27554-1.57407
Borussia Monchengladbach
RB Leipzig
14.3%
67.8%
17.9%
+695
-255
+650
-250
0
3
-0.35327-0.37280-0.38837
Augsburg
Bayern Munich
4.0%
87.5%
8.5%
+2400
-929
+2000
-925
3
5
-0.12805-0.14281-0.13377
VfL Bochum
FC Koln
13.4%
69.4%
17.3%
+425
-136
+400
-140
2
0
-1.68110-1.66163-2.01291
Eintracht Frankfurt
Wolfsburg
37.3%
36.5%
26.2%
+198
+147
+195
+145
2
2
-1.27859-1.28717-1.34056
Hertha BSC
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
14.0%
68.2%
17.7%
+586
-190
+525
-195
1
4
-0.44102-0.45966-0.38230
Bayern Munich
VfB Stuttgart
69.8%
13.1%
17.1%
-205
+575
-225
+570
2
1
-0.42425-0.41038-0.35987
Werder Bremen
Augsburg
33.7%
40.3%
26.0%
+220
+127
+217
+125
1
2
-0.84497-0.84644-0.90941
Schalke 04
VfL Bochum
31.9%
42.9%
25.2%
+186
+164
+185
+155
2
0
-1.08181-1.08889-1.14278
Freiburg
Borussia Monchengladbach
31.6%
43.3%
25.1%
+213
+131
+198
+145
0
0
-1.31472-1.29000-1.38107
Hoffenheim
Mainz 05
32.1%
42.9%
25.0%
+292
-105
+305
-110
0
1
-0.70245-0.68681-0.84621
FC Koln
Union Berlin
23.5%
53.5%
23.1%
+325
+105
+355
-105
0
0
-1.20895-1.22404-1.46729
RB Leipzig
Dortmund
24.4%
53.0%
22.6%
+215
+135
+200
+125
1
2
-0.86977-0.85996-0.63471
Union Berlin
Bayern Munich
7.9%
78.8%
13.3%
+725
-213
+665
-235
0
3
-0.40384-0.40296-0.23857
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (9-0-2, 29 pts)22.34.37.474.486.2%99.5%0.4%0.0%0.0%
2Eintracht Frankfurt (7-2-2, 23 pts)16.29.48.557.00.8%52.6%26.2%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (6-2-3, 21 pts)16.68.39.158.92.5%65.9%21.9%0.0%0.0%
4Bayer 04 Leverkusen (5-1-5, 20 pts)17.75.710.663.89.7%89.1%8.1%0.0%0.0%
5Dortmund (6-4-1, 19 pts)16.010.77.355.30.6%39.8%31.9%0.0%0.0%
6Borussia Monchengladbach (5-4-2, 17 pts)12.712.78.646.70.0%4.9%15.5%0.4%0.3%
7Freiburg (5-4-2, 17 pts)14.111.68.350.50.1%13.6%23.5%0.3%0.1%
8Mainz 05 (4-3-4, 16 pts)11.212.310.544.00.0%2.7%7.7%2.2%0.5%
9VfB Stuttgart (4-3-4, 16 pts)14.09.710.252.30.0%22.7%31.1%0.0%0.0%
10Union Berlin (4-3-4, 16 pts)12.211.410.446.90.1%4.0%13.1%0.6%0.4%
11Wolfsburg (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.712.79.644.70.0%2.9%9.7%1.4%0.5%
12Werder Bremen (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.213.29.743.20.0%1.2%5.4%3.7%1.4%
13Hoffenheim (3-5-3, 12 pts)10.214.49.440.00.0%0.5%2.7%7.0%3.1%
14Augsburg (3-5-3, 12 pts)10.214.49.440.00.0%0.6%2.2%6.4%3.9%
15FC Heidenheim (3-7-1, 10 pts)8.917.87.334.10.0%0.0%0.5%19.5%19.3%
16FC St. Pauli (2-7-2, 8 pts)7.718.18.231.30.0%0.0%0.1%24.7%35.7%
17Holstein Kiel (1-8-2, 5 pts)6.319.87.926.70.0%0.0%0.0%14.2%72.0%
18VfL Bochum (0-9-2, 2 pts)6.619.28.328.00.0%0.0%0.0%19.6%62.8%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.