German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
23.5%
54.6%
21.9%
+315
-115

1.21
1.96
3.17
o2½-114
u2½+100

Games for Nov 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Hoffenheim
Augsburg
44.8%
30.4%
24.7%
+169
+165
+155
+165
0
1
-0.99593-1.02151-1.18922
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Koln
35.6%
39.2%
25.1%
+165
+182
+156
+175
0
3
-1.05426-1.05397-0.93629
Borussia Monchengladbach
Hertha BSC
37.0%
37.3%
25.7%
+156
+185
+145
+185
1
4
-1.06871-1.08877-0.98690
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
17.4%
62.0%
20.6%
+405
-116
+400
-125
2
1
-1.63599-1.64990-1.74968
Dortmund
Werder Bremen
50.8%
26.3%
22.9%
-132
+365
-135
+325
2
0
-0.56819-0.59891-0.67769
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Hoffenheim
34.6%
40.2%
25.2%
+166
+171
+155
+170
3
1
-0.99707-0.97487-1.06022
Augsburg
Mainz 05
17.1%
62.6%
20.3%
+350
-121
+328
-125
1
3
-0.62500-0.63363-0.46874
VfB Stuttgart
Freiburg
19.0%
59.7%
21.3%
+285
+111
+280
+105
1
2
-0.76509-0.76529-0.51653
VfL Bochum
Bayern Munich
3.2%
89.7%
7.1%
+2093
-729
+1590
-740
0
3
-0.14865-0.17385-0.10908
Wolfsburg
Schalke 04
30.9%
43.6%
25.5%
+107
+275
+103
+280
0
0
-1.32418-1.32403-1.36771
Bayern Munich
Wolfsburg
71.9%
11.6%
16.5%
-170
+463
-175
+425
4
2
-0.48245-0.49989-0.32974
Werder Bremen
VfB Stuttgart
27.4%
48.6%
24.0%
+355
-118
+325
-120
2
0
-1.53572-1.49121-1.29572
Schalke 04
Borussia Monchengladbach
14.6%
67.5%
17.8%
+441
-162
+425
-175
0
0
-1.53954-1.55197-1.72406
Hoffenheim
VfL Bochum
52.8%
24.5%
22.7%
+156
+199
+150
+180
2
5
-1.10845-1.07318-1.40519
Hertha BSC
Eintracht Frankfurt
15.7%
65.9%
18.4%
+542
-185
+565
-200
0
3
-0.45416-0.44638-0.41668
RB Leipzig
FC Koln
47.2%
28.6%
24.2%
+104
+280
-105
+280
0
0
-1.33370-1.36688-1.41915
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (9-0-2, 29 pts)22.34.37.474.486.2%99.5%0.4%0.0%0.0%
2Eintracht Frankfurt (7-2-2, 23 pts)16.29.48.557.00.8%52.6%26.2%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (6-2-3, 21 pts)16.68.39.158.92.5%65.9%21.9%0.0%0.0%
4Bayer 04 Leverkusen (5-1-5, 20 pts)17.75.710.663.89.7%89.1%8.1%0.0%0.0%
5Dortmund (6-4-1, 19 pts)16.010.77.355.30.6%39.8%31.9%0.0%0.0%
6Borussia Monchengladbach (5-4-2, 17 pts)12.712.78.646.70.0%4.9%15.5%0.4%0.3%
7Freiburg (5-4-2, 17 pts)14.111.68.350.50.1%13.6%23.5%0.3%0.1%
8Mainz 05 (4-3-4, 16 pts)11.212.310.544.00.0%2.7%7.7%2.2%0.5%
9VfB Stuttgart (4-3-4, 16 pts)14.09.710.252.30.0%22.7%31.1%0.0%0.0%
10Union Berlin (4-3-4, 16 pts)12.211.410.446.90.1%4.0%13.1%0.6%0.4%
11Wolfsburg (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.712.79.644.70.0%2.9%9.7%1.4%0.5%
12Werder Bremen (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.213.29.743.20.0%1.2%5.4%3.7%1.4%
13Hoffenheim (3-5-3, 12 pts)10.214.49.440.00.0%0.5%2.7%7.0%3.1%
14Augsburg (3-5-3, 12 pts)10.214.49.440.00.0%0.6%2.2%6.4%3.9%
15FC Heidenheim (3-7-1, 10 pts)8.917.87.334.10.0%0.0%0.5%19.5%19.3%
16FC St. Pauli (2-7-2, 8 pts)7.718.18.231.30.0%0.0%0.1%24.7%35.7%
17Holstein Kiel (1-8-2, 5 pts)6.319.87.926.70.0%0.0%0.0%14.2%72.0%
18VfL Bochum (0-9-2, 2 pts)6.619.28.328.00.0%0.0%0.0%19.6%62.8%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.