German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
23.5%
54.6%
21.9%
+315
-115

1.21
1.96
3.17
o2½-114
u2½+100

Games for Nov 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Wolfsburg
Hertha BSC
26.5%
49.2%
24.4%
+148
+209
+140
+195
5
0
-0.92483-0.92158-1.32897
VfB Stuttgart
Hoffenheim
17.9%
62.2%
19.9%
+243
+115
+235
+116
2
2
-1.34877-1.29887-1.61536
FC Koln
Bayern Munich
5.6%
84.3%
10.2%
+1020
-424
+1000
-475
1
1
-2.07936-2.06981-2.28661
RB Leipzig
Schalke 04
58.1%
20.4%
21.4%
-172
+520
-190
+525
6
1
-0.47404-0.46394-0.54220
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Borussia Monchengladbach
37.5%
36.8%
25.6%
+149
+184
+140
+170
3
2
-0.92902-0.91925-0.98032
Augsburg
Dortmund
7.9%
79.4%
12.7%
+900
-320
+840
-320
3
4
-0.29512-0.31472-0.23106
Werder Bremen
FC Koln
25.8%
50.9%
23.2%
+280
+105
+260
+100
1
7
-0.73464-0.74360-0.67525
Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart
31.1%
43.4%
25.5%
+218
+132
+207
+130
1
1
-1.28349-1.30623-1.36645
Hertha BSC
VfL Bochum
36.5%
37.3%
26.2%
+224
+139
+204
+132
1
3
-0.88001-0.88625-0.98575
Freiburg
Wolfsburg
37.8%
35.2%
27.0%
+249
+128
+224
+130
0
6
-0.84323-0.87400-1.04404
Schalke 04
Eintracht Frankfurt
15.2%
66.7%
18.1%
+814
-273
+750
-275
0
3
-0.33180-0.35799-0.40467
Hoffenheim
Union Berlin
27.4%
48.3%
24.3%
+260
+126
+235
+125
1
3
-0.84292-0.85590-0.72828
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
54.0%
23.5%
22.6%
-109
+285
-115
+275
1
1
-1.46516-1.46477-1.48899
Union Berlin
Freiburg
29.4%
44.9%
25.7%
+322
+116
+306
+110
1
4
-0.78539-0.78209-0.80087
Eintracht Frankfurt
Mainz 05
28.5%
47.5%
24.0%
+160
+175
+150
+175
1
1
-1.28616-1.31539-1.42866
Bayern Munich
Schalke 04
81.1%
7.0%
11.9%
-433
+1248
-500
+1150
2
0
-0.22748-0.22965-0.20993
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (9-0-2, 29 pts)22.34.37.474.486.2%99.5%0.4%0.0%0.0%
2Eintracht Frankfurt (7-2-2, 23 pts)16.29.48.557.00.8%52.6%26.2%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (6-2-3, 21 pts)16.68.39.158.92.5%65.9%21.9%0.0%0.0%
4Bayer 04 Leverkusen (5-1-5, 20 pts)17.75.710.663.89.7%89.1%8.1%0.0%0.0%
5Dortmund (6-4-1, 19 pts)16.010.77.355.30.6%39.8%31.9%0.0%0.0%
6Borussia Monchengladbach (5-4-2, 17 pts)12.712.78.646.70.0%4.9%15.5%0.4%0.3%
7Freiburg (5-4-2, 17 pts)14.111.68.350.50.1%13.6%23.5%0.3%0.1%
8Mainz 05 (4-3-4, 16 pts)11.212.310.544.00.0%2.7%7.7%2.2%0.5%
9VfB Stuttgart (4-3-4, 16 pts)14.09.710.252.30.0%22.7%31.1%0.0%0.0%
10Union Berlin (4-3-4, 16 pts)12.211.410.446.90.1%4.0%13.1%0.6%0.4%
11Wolfsburg (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.712.79.644.70.0%2.9%9.7%1.4%0.5%
12Werder Bremen (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.213.29.743.20.0%1.2%5.4%3.7%1.4%
13Hoffenheim (3-5-3, 12 pts)10.214.49.440.00.0%0.5%2.7%7.0%3.1%
14Augsburg (3-5-3, 12 pts)10.214.49.440.00.0%0.6%2.2%6.4%3.9%
15FC Heidenheim (3-7-1, 10 pts)8.917.87.334.10.0%0.0%0.5%19.5%19.3%
16FC St. Pauli (2-7-2, 8 pts)7.718.18.231.30.0%0.0%0.1%24.7%35.7%
17Holstein Kiel (1-8-2, 5 pts)6.319.87.926.70.0%0.0%0.0%14.2%72.0%
18VfL Bochum (0-9-2, 2 pts)6.619.28.328.00.0%0.0%0.0%19.6%62.8%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.