German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
23.5%
54.6%
21.9%
+326
-118
+320
-120
1.21
1.96
3.17
o2½-118
u2½+100
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Wolfsburg
FC Koln
30.8%
43.9%
25.3%
+521
-193
+490
-200
1
0
-1.84966-1.82492-1.17762
Dortmund
SpVgg Greuther Furth
74.4%
10.8%
14.8%
-256
+651
-280
+685
3
1
-0.35327-0.34578-0.29628
Arminia Bielefeld
VfL Bochum
21.0%
55.5%
23.5%
+239
+121
+230
+120
1
2
-0.81274-0.81950-0.58967
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
17.3%
63.6%
19.1%
+545
-207
+720
-215
0
2
-0.42301-0.39255-0.45237
RB Leipzig
Borussia Monchengladbach
52.7%
24.4%
22.8%
-150
+408
-162
+400
1
3
-1.64517-1.65653-1.40858
Freiburg
Hoffenheim
29.7%
45.5%
24.7%
+200
+135
+190
+135
4
3
-1.12522-1.11173-1.21359
VfL Bochum
Dortmund
8.1%
79.2%
12.8%
+641
-236
+605
-230
4
3
-2.02647-1.98370-2.51826
Wolfsburg
VfB Stuttgart
32.1%
42.2%
25.7%
+329
-109
+300
-110
1
1
-1.36234-1.33530-1.35985
Bayern Munich
Mainz 05
74.2%
10.6%
15.3%
-150
+375
-175
+460
1
3
-1.58797-1.75319-2.24800
FC Koln
Augsburg
38.4%
35.6%
25.9%
+132
+213
+130
+210
4
1
-0.86287-0.87666-0.95693
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Union Berlin
13.2%
69.3%
17.6%
+1375
-370
+1400
-400
1
1
-1.83527-1.82455-1.74006
VfB Stuttgart
Hertha BSC
34.0%
40.6%
25.3%
+146
+221
+140
+215
0
2
-1.18712-1.19112-0.90032
Augsburg
VfL Bochum
22.4%
55.0%
22.6%
+259
+129
+256
+125
2
0
-1.29627-1.30689-1.49781
Dortmund
Bayern Munich
9.7%
76.3%
13.9%
+712
-305
+700
-325
1
3
-0.31050-0.31652-0.27004
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
8.0%
78.5%
13.6%
+560
-156
+512
-170
2
1
-1.90099-1.85368-2.53099
Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
24.8%
53.1%
22.1%
+198
+138
+180
+145
2
2
-1.36340-1.34531-1.50801
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (9-0-2, 29 pts)22.34.37.474.486.2%99.5%0.4%0.0%0.0%
2Eintracht Frankfurt (7-2-2, 23 pts)16.29.48.557.00.8%52.6%26.2%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (6-2-3, 21 pts)16.68.39.158.92.5%65.9%21.9%0.0%0.0%
4Bayer 04 Leverkusen (5-1-5, 20 pts)17.75.710.663.89.7%89.1%8.1%0.0%0.0%
5Dortmund (6-4-1, 19 pts)16.010.77.355.30.6%39.8%31.9%0.0%0.0%
6Borussia Monchengladbach (5-4-2, 17 pts)12.712.78.646.70.0%4.9%15.5%0.4%0.3%
7Freiburg (5-4-2, 17 pts)14.111.68.350.50.1%13.6%23.5%0.3%0.1%
8Mainz 05 (4-3-4, 16 pts)11.212.310.544.00.0%2.7%7.7%2.2%0.5%
9VfB Stuttgart (4-3-4, 16 pts)14.09.710.252.30.0%22.7%31.1%0.0%0.0%
10Union Berlin (4-3-4, 16 pts)12.211.410.446.90.1%4.0%13.1%0.6%0.4%
11Wolfsburg (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.712.79.644.70.0%2.9%9.7%1.4%0.5%
12Werder Bremen (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.213.29.743.20.0%1.2%5.4%3.7%1.4%
13Hoffenheim (3-5-3, 12 pts)10.214.49.440.00.0%0.5%2.7%7.0%3.1%
14Augsburg (3-5-3, 12 pts)10.214.49.440.00.0%0.6%2.2%6.4%3.9%
15FC Heidenheim (3-7-1, 10 pts)8.917.87.334.10.0%0.0%0.5%19.5%19.3%
16FC St. Pauli (2-7-2, 8 pts)7.718.18.231.30.0%0.0%0.1%24.7%35.7%
17Holstein Kiel (1-8-2, 5 pts)6.319.87.926.70.0%0.0%0.0%14.2%72.0%
18VfL Bochum (0-9-2, 2 pts)6.619.28.328.00.0%0.0%0.0%19.6%62.8%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.