Copa Libertadores Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 16, 2024

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Games for May 15, 2024
Games for May 17, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Orig.
Draw %
Closing
ML
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Barcelona SC
Sao Paulo
10.1%
71.5%
18.3%
+850
-226
+750
-350
2.78
o2½-105
u2½-108
o2½-110
u2½-120
2nd H
68:00
0
1
Liverpool
San Lorenzo
12.4%
69.2%
18.3%
+543
-170
+515
-195
3.05
o2-125
u2+103
o2-120
u2-110
2nd H
45:00
1
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Botafogo RJ
Universitario
40.6%
31.2%
28.2%
+180
+170
+120
+195
1
0
-1.07752-0.90788-0.90185
Caracas
Rosario Cent
10.3%
71.6%
18.1%
+1400
-354

1
4
-0.26043-0.33419
Cerro Porteno
Fluminense
13.4%
65.6%
20.9%
+500
-136
+440
-180
1
2
-0.57629-0.56100-0.42137
Independiente
Palmeiras
9.1%
75.0%
16.0%
+800
-243
+660
-325
1
2
-0.35944-0.38709-0.28822
Bolivar
Flamengo
5.4%
82.0%
12.6%
+1600
-650

0
4
-0.18533-0.19906
Colo-Colo
Alianza Lima
38.5%
32.2%
29.2%
+172
+193
+145
+165
1
1
-1.16687-1.19915-1.23032
Huachipato
The Strongest
16.2%
58.8%
24.9%
+900
-275

0
4
-0.32850-0.53031
Nacional
Deportivo Tachira
39.5%
34.1%
26.4%
-105
+308
-125
+285
1
0
-0.71592-0.70804-0.92948
Palestino
Millonarios
16.1%
62.5%
21.4%
+530
-152
+550
-245
1
1
-1.35973-1.45466-1.53987
Libertad
River Plate
16.1%
62.5%
21.4%
+950
-360
+675
-340
0
2
-0.29276-0.37918-0.46980
Cobresal
CC Cordoba
16.7%
60.9%
22.3%
+1050
-450

0
1
-0.25911-0.49549
Atletico Mineiro
Penarol
49.3%
23.9%
26.8%
+146
+236
+120
+190
0
2
-1.24657-1.18450-1.43272
Junior
LDU de Quito
16.1%
62.8%
21.1%
+575
-202
+550
-265
1
0
-1.95793-1.99114-1.82672
Estudiantes
The Strongest
29.0%
39.4%
31.5%
+485
-160
+375
-190
0
1
-0.52862-0.54407-0.93102
Fluminense
Colo-Colo
40.9%
30.3%
28.8%
+228
+135
+170
+140
1
0
-1.23268-1.11194-0.89421
Palmeiras
Liverpool
63.5%
15.9%
20.6%
-195
+573
-210
+440
5
0
-0.47188-0.51104-0.45441
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.63808 
Sportsbooks32-0-0 (0.833)1-0.73444 
DRatings33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.55247
0.08561
0.18197

Predictions Methodology

The Copa Libertadores is the top-flight club tournament for teams in the CONMEBOL federation. The Predictor is used to predict future Copa Libertadores soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.