Lazio at Fiorentina

Updated

Lazio

37.0%27.2%35.8%
Lazio WinDrawFiorentina Win
1.25Projected Goals 1.22
3Final Score 0

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Lazio
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Atalanta+130
W 3-0 at Salernitana-315
L 1-2 at Inter+725
T 3-3 vs Empoli-175
W 3-1 at Venezia-110
Fiorentina
Money Line
T 1-1 at Cagliari-160
W 0-6 vs Genoa-250
L 0-4 at Torino+145
T 1-1 at Hellas Verona+140
T 2-2 vs Sassuolo-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lazio+200+205+195+220+206+195+220+225.7
Fiorentina+130+130+145+139+132+145+145+144.0
Draw+255+250+250+245+236+250+250+253.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lazio+190---+175+205+205+225.7
Fiorentina+145---+120+135+135+144.0
Draw+235---+225+235+235+253.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lazio: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lazio: 20.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lazio: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lazio ML moved from +216 to +210
Fiorentina ML moved from +146 to +139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lazio: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lazio: 20.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lazio: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Lazio ML
No Steam Moves On Fiorentina ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118o2¾-105o2½-130o2½-120-o2½-130o2½-120o2¾+106
Underu2¾-102u2¾-115u2½+110u2½+105-u2½+110u2¾-115u2¾-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-115--o2½-145o2½-120o2½-115o2¾+106
Underu2½+115u2½-105--u2½+115u2½+100u2½+115u2¾-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½+117 to u2½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½+120 to u2½-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.3%
 
No49.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.45%
Exactly 225.80%
Exactly 413.12%
Exactly 62.67%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.88%
Exactly 321.25%
Exactly 56.48%
Exactly 70.94%
Exact Goals Scored - Lazio
Exactly 028.51%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 222.45%
Exactly 39.39%
Exactly 42.95%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 029.65%
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 221.91%
Exactly 38.88%
Exactly 42.70%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.86%
Exactly 220.84%
Exactly 42.27%
 
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 37.95%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lazio
Exactly 055.93%
Exactly 132.50%
Exactly 29.44%
Exactly 31.83%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 056.96%
Exactly 132.06%
Exactly 29.02%
Exactly 31.69%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lazio
Wins by 2+ goals16.28%
Wins by 3+ goals5.52%
Wins by 4+ goals1.50%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals15.05%
Wins by 3+ goals4.96%
Wins by 4+ goals1.31%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Lazio
Fiorentina
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Lazio
Wins by 1 goal21.04%
Wins by 2 goals10.76%
Wins by 3 goals4.02%
Wins by 4 goals1.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal20.38%
Wins by 2 goals10.09%
Wins by 3 goals3.66%
Wins by 4 goals1.03%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.55%8.45%
1.570.66%29.34%
2.544.86%55.14%
3.523.62%76.38%
4.510.49%89.51%
5.54.01%95.99%
6.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Lazio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.49%28.51%
1.535.72%64.28%
2.513.27%86.73%
3.53.87%96.13%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.35%29.65%
1.534.30%65.70%
2.512.39%87.61%
3.53.51%96.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.14%31.86%
1.531.70%68.30%
2.510.86%89.14%
3.52.91%97.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lazio
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
8.45%
10.28%
6.25%
2.53%
0.77%
0.19%
1
10.61%
12.90%
7.84%
3.18%
0.97%
0.23%
2
6.66%
8.09%
4.92%
1.99%
0.61%
0.15%
3
2.79%
3.39%
2.06%
0.83%
0.25%
0.06%
4
0.87%
1.06%
0.65%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.22%
0.27%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Lazio
1-010.61%
2-06.66%
2-18.09%
3-02.79%
3-13.39%
3-22.06%
4-00.87%
4-11.06%
4-20.65%
4-30.26%
5-00.22%
5-10.27%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-08.45%
1-112.90%
2-24.92%
3-30.83%
Fiorentina
0-110.28%
0-26.25%
1-27.84%
0-32.53%
1-33.18%
2-31.99%
0-40.77%
1-40.97%
2-40.61%
3-40.25%
0-50.19%
1-50.23%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Lazio
Fiorentina
Score01234
0
31.86%
17.93%
5.05%
0.95%
0.13%
1
18.51%
10.42%
2.93%
0.55%
0.08%
2
5.38%
3.03%
0.85%
0.16%
0.02%
3
1.04%
0.59%
0.17%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.15%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Lazio
1-018.51%
2-05.38%
2-13.03%
3-01.04%
3-10.59%
3-20.17%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-031.86%
1-110.42%
2-20.85%
Fiorentina
0-117.93%
0-25.05%
1-22.93%
0-30.95%
1-30.55%
2-30.16%
0-40.13%