Genoa at Fiorentina

Updated

Genoa

24.0%20.0%55.9%
Genoa WinDrawFiorentina Win
0.90Projected Goals 2.08
0Final Score 6

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Genoa
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Spezia+125
T 1-1 at Sassuolo+385
T 0-0 vs Atalanta+525
L 1-3 at Lazio+500
L 3-1 vs Sampdoria+240
Fiorentina
Money Line
L 0-4 at Torino+145
T 1-1 at Hellas Verona+140
T 2-2 vs Sassuolo-110
W 0-4 vs Salernitana-350
W 3-2 at Bologna+155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Genoa+475+625+750+753+760+750+760+795.3
Fiorentina-185-245-245-238-283-245-238-225.2
Draw+320+390+385+393+388+385+393+410.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Genoa+655---+650+720+720+795.3
Fiorentina-225----310-250-250-225.2
Draw+340---+320+365+365+410.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Genoa: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Genoa: 40.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Genoa: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Genoa ML moved from +762 to +753
Fiorentina ML moved from -275 to -283

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Genoa: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Genoa: 40.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Genoa: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Genoa ML moved from +735 to +720
Fiorentina ML moved from -260 to -310

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2¾-115o2¾-123o2½-145-o2¾-123o2½-145o3+114
Underu2¾-118u2¾-105u2¾+103u2½+130-u2¾+103u2¾+103u3-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-155--o2½-130o3+115o2½-130o3+114
Underu2½+110u2½+135--u2½+100u3-135u3-135u3-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-145 to o3+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%
 
No48.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.10%
Exactly 222.58%
Exactly 416.67%
Exactly 64.92%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.18%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.92%
Exactly 72.09%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Genoa
Exactly 040.87%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 216.36%
Exactly 34.88%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 012.48%
Exactly 125.97%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 318.75%
Exactly 49.75%
Exactly 54.06%
Exactly 61.41%
Exactly 70.42%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.21%
Exactly 223.93%
Exactly 43.79%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.74%
Exactly 310.99%
Exactly 51.04%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Genoa
Exactly 066.08%
Exactly 127.38%
Exactly 25.67%
Exactly 30.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 038.15%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.71%
Exactly 35.69%
Exactly 41.37%
Exactly 50.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Genoa
Wins by 2+ goals4.80%
Wins by 3+ goals1.16%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals40.65%
Wins by 3+ goals20.94%
Wins by 4+ goals8.97%
Wins by 5+ goals3.25%
Wins by 6+ goals1.00%
Wins by 7+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Genoa
Fiorentina
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Genoa
Wins by 1 goal10.36%
Wins by 2 goals3.64%
Wins by 3 goals0.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal24.09%
Wins by 2 goals19.71%
Wins by 3 goals11.97%
Wins by 4 goals5.72%
Wins by 5 goals2.25%
Wins by 6 goals0.75%
Wins by 7 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.90%5.10%
1.579.72%20.28%
2.557.14%42.86%
3.534.74%65.26%
4.518.07%81.93%
5.58.15%91.85%
6.53.23%96.77%
7.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Genoa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.13%40.87%
1.522.56%77.44%
2.56.20%93.80%
3.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.52%12.48%
1.561.55%38.45%
2.534.53%65.47%
3.515.78%84.22%
4.56.03%93.97%
5.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.79%25.21%
1.540.05%59.95%
2.516.12%83.88%
3.55.13%94.87%
4.51.34%98.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Genoa
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
5.10%
10.61%
11.04%
7.66%
3.99%
1.66%
1
4.56%
9.50%
9.88%
6.86%
3.57%
1.48%
2
2.04%
4.25%
4.42%
3.07%
1.60%
0.66%
3
0.61%
1.27%
1.32%
0.92%
0.48%
0.20%
4
0.14%
0.28%
0.30%
0.20%
0.11%
0.04%
Genoa
1-04.56%
2-02.04%
2-14.25%
3-00.61%
3-11.27%
3-21.32%
4-00.14%
4-10.28%
4-20.30%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-05.10%
1-19.50%
2-24.42%
3-30.92%
4-40.11%
Fiorentina
0-110.61%
0-211.04%
1-29.88%
0-37.66%
1-36.86%
2-33.07%
0-43.99%
1-43.57%
2-41.60%
3-40.48%
0-51.66%
1-51.48%
2-50.66%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Genoa
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
25.21%
24.29%
11.70%
3.76%
0.91%
0.17%
1
10.45%
10.07%
4.85%
1.56%
0.38%
0.07%
2
2.16%
2.09%
1.00%
0.32%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.30%
0.29%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Genoa
1-010.45%
2-02.16%
2-12.09%
3-00.30%
3-10.29%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-025.21%
1-110.07%
2-21.00%
Fiorentina
0-124.29%
0-211.70%
1-24.85%
0-33.76%
1-31.56%
2-30.32%
0-40.91%
1-40.38%
0-50.17%