Milan at Cagliari

Updated

Milan

62.1%21.6%16.4%
Milan WinDrawWin
1.92Projected Goals 0.87
3Final Score 1

Cagliari

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Hellas Verona-255
L 1-5 at Inter+245
W 2-1 at Roma+165
W 1-4 vs Torino-120
W 2-0 at Bologna+100
Cagliari
Money Line
L 0-2 at Atalanta+690
T 0-0 vs Udinese+180
L 1-2 at Bologna+375
L 2-0 vs Inter+625
T 0-0 at Torino+490

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-171-112-115-112-113-113-112-105.3
Cagliari+498+353+350+375+375+375+375+391.3
Draw+313+245+240+238+241+241+245+252.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-195--110--165-120-110-105.3
Cagliari+425-+345-+375+360+375+391.3
Draw+265-+229-+240+250+250+252.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cagliari: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 20.0%
Cagliari: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Cagliari: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Milan ML
Cagliari ML moved from +360 to +350

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cagliari: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 20.0%
Cagliari: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Cagliari: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Milan ML
Cagliari ML moved from +353 to +345

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-121o2-144o2¼-105o2¼+100o2¼+100o2¼+100o2-144o2¼+109
Underu2½+103u2+122u2¼-115u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-115u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½+115o2½+135-o2½+115o2½+130o2½+130o2¼+109
Underu2½-120u2½-135u2½-155-u2½-145u2½-150u2½-135u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.15%
Exactly 223.92%
Exactly 415.49%
Exactly 64.01%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.16%
Exactly 322.23%
Exactly 58.64%
Exactly 71.60%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 014.66%
Exactly 128.15%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.30%
Exactly 48.30%
Exactly 53.19%
Exactly 61.02%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Cagliari
Exactly 041.98%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 215.81%
Exactly 34.57%
Exactly 40.99%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.50%
Exactly 222.91%
Exactly 43.18%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.50%
Exactly 39.86%
Exactly 50.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 041.11%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.24%
Exactly 34.81%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cagliari
Exactly 066.91%
Exactly 126.89%
Exactly 25.40%
Exactly 30.72%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals37.18%
Wins by 3+ goals18.06%
Wins by 4+ goals7.22%
Wins by 5+ goals2.40%
Cagliari
Wins by 2+ goals5.12%
Wins by 3+ goals1.22%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Cagliari
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Milan
Wins by 1 goal24.81%
Wins by 2 goals19.12%
Wins by 3 goals10.84%
Wins by 4 goals4.82%
Wins by 5 goals1.75%
Cagliari
Wins by 1 goal11.21%
Wins by 2 goals3.90%
Wins by 3 goals1.00%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.85%6.15%
1.576.69%23.31%
2.552.77%47.23%
3.530.54%69.46%
4.515.05%84.95%
5.56.41%93.59%
6.52.39%97.61%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.34%14.66%
1.557.19%42.81%
2.530.17%69.83%
3.512.87%87.13%
4.54.57%95.43%
5.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Cagliari Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.02%41.98%
1.521.58%78.42%
2.55.77%94.23%
3.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.50%27.50%
1.536.99%63.01%
2.514.08%85.92%
3.54.22%95.78%
4.51.04%98.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Cagliari
Score01234
0
6.15%
5.34%
2.32%
0.67%
0.15%
1
11.82%
10.26%
4.45%
1.29%
0.28%
2
11.35%
9.85%
4.27%
1.24%
0.27%
3
7.26%
6.30%
2.73%
0.79%
0.17%
4
3.49%
3.02%
1.31%
0.38%
0.08%
5
1.34%
1.16%
0.50%
0.15%
0.03%
Milan
1-011.82%
2-011.35%
2-19.85%
3-07.26%
3-16.30%
3-22.73%
4-03.49%
4-13.02%
4-21.31%
4-30.38%
5-01.34%
5-11.16%
5-20.50%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-06.15%
1-110.26%
2-24.27%
3-30.79%
Cagliari
0-15.34%
0-22.32%
1-24.45%
0-30.67%
1-31.29%
2-31.24%
0-40.15%
1-40.28%
2-40.27%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Cagliari
Score0123
0
27.50%
11.05%
2.22%
0.30%
1
24.45%
9.83%
1.97%
0.26%
2
10.87%
4.37%
0.88%
0.12%
3
3.22%
1.29%
0.26%
0.03%
4
0.72%
0.29%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-024.45%
2-010.87%
2-14.37%
3-03.22%
3-11.29%
3-20.26%
4-00.72%
4-10.29%
5-00.13%
Draw
0-027.50%
1-19.83%
2-20.88%
Cagliari
0-111.05%
0-22.22%
1-21.97%
0-30.30%
1-30.26%
2-30.12%