Atalanta at Napoli

Updated

Atalanta

15.0%18.7%66.3%
WinDrawNapoli Win
0.99Projected Goals 2.27
0Final Score 2

Napoli

Last 5 Games

Atalanta
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Udinese-140
L 0-2 at Milan+240
L 2-1 vs Lecce-220
W 2-0 at Lazio+220
L 0-1 at Sassuolo-110
Napoli
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Lazio-160
W 2-0 at Empoli-220
W 2-0 at Sassuolo-160
W 0-3 vs Cremonese-500
W 3-0 at Spezia-270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+394+432+400+435+431+435+435+453.8
Napoli-147-147-150-147-143-147-143-135.2
Draw+312+291+300+295+294+295+300+308.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+385---+360+425+425+453.8
Napoli-150----180-150-150-135.2
Draw+310---+275+285+285+308.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 0.0%
Napoli: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +430 to +424
Napoli ML moved from -131 to -137

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 0.0%
Napoli: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +415 to +360
Napoli ML moved from -140 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-138o2½-118o2½-115o2½-115o2½-114o2½-115o2½-114o2½-104
Underu2½+118u2½+100u2½-105u2½-105u2½-101u2½-105u2½+100u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-125--o2½-125o2½-115o2½-115o2½-104
Underu2½+115u2½+105--u2½-105u2½-105u2½+105u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.2%
 
No43.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.85%
Exactly 220.42%
Exactly 418.05%
Exactly 66.39%
Exactly 81.21%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.54%
Exactly 322.17%
Exactly 511.76%
Exactly 72.97%
Exactly 90.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 037.29%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.14%
Exactly 35.97%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 010.32%
Exactly 123.44%
Exactly 226.62%
Exactly 320.15%
Exactly 411.44%
Exactly 55.19%
Exactly 61.97%
Exactly 70.64%
Exactly 80.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.13%
Exactly 225.17%
Exactly 44.77%
Exactly 60.36%
 
Exactly 133.38%
Exactly 312.65%
Exactly 51.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 063.34%
Exactly 128.93%
Exactly 26.61%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 034.94%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.32%
Exactly 36.77%
Exactly 41.78%
Exactly 50.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals5.01%
Wins by 3+ goals1.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals43.28%
Wins by 3+ goals23.52%
Wins by 4+ goals10.73%
Wins by 5+ goals4.16%
Wins by 6+ goals1.37%
Wins by 7+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Atalanta
Napoli
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal9.97%
Wins by 2 goals3.72%
Wins by 3 goals1.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal22.95%
Wins by 2 goals19.75%
Wins by 3 goals12.79%
Wins by 4 goals6.57%
Wins by 5 goals2.79%
Wins by 6 goals1.00%
Wins by 7 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.15%3.85%
1.583.61%16.39%
2.563.19%36.81%
3.541.02%58.98%
4.522.97%77.03%
5.511.20%88.80%
6.54.82%95.18%
7.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.71%37.29%
1.525.92%74.08%
2.57.78%92.22%
3.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.68%10.32%
1.566.24%33.76%
2.539.62%60.38%
3.519.48%80.52%
4.58.04%91.96%
5.52.84%97.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.87%22.13%
1.544.49%55.51%
2.519.32%80.68%
3.56.67%93.33%
4.51.90%98.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atalanta
Napoli
Score012345
0
3.85%
8.74%
9.93%
7.51%
4.27%
1.94%
1
3.80%
8.62%
9.79%
7.41%
4.21%
1.91%
2
1.87%
4.25%
4.83%
3.66%
2.08%
0.94%
3
0.62%
1.40%
1.59%
1.20%
0.68%
0.31%
4
0.15%
0.34%
0.39%
0.30%
0.17%
0.08%
Atalanta
1-03.80%
2-01.87%
2-14.25%
3-00.62%
3-11.40%
3-21.59%
4-00.15%
4-10.34%
4-20.39%
4-30.30%
Draw
0-03.85%
1-18.62%
2-24.83%
3-31.20%
4-40.17%
Napoli
0-18.74%
0-29.93%
1-29.79%
0-37.51%
1-37.41%
2-33.66%
0-44.27%
1-44.21%
2-42.08%
3-40.68%
0-51.94%
1-51.91%
2-50.94%
3-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Atalanta
Napoli
Score012345
0
22.13%
23.27%
12.23%
4.29%
1.13%
0.24%
1
10.11%
10.63%
5.59%
1.96%
0.51%
0.11%
2
2.31%
2.43%
1.28%
0.45%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.35%
0.37%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Atalanta
1-010.11%
2-02.31%
2-12.43%
3-00.35%
3-10.37%
3-20.19%
Draw
0-022.13%
1-110.63%
2-21.28%
Napoli
0-123.27%
0-212.23%
1-25.59%
0-34.29%
1-31.96%
2-30.45%
0-41.13%
1-40.51%
2-40.12%
0-50.24%
1-50.11%