Atalanta at Milan

Updated

Atalanta

18.0%20.8%61.3%
WinDrawMilan Win
1.01Projected Goals 2.05
0Final Score 2

Milan

Last 5 Games

Atalanta
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Lecce-220
W 2-0 at Lazio+220
L 0-1 at Sassuolo-110
W 0-2 vs Sampdoria-300
T 3-3 at Juventus+240
Milan
Money Line
W 1-0 at Monza+110
W 0-1 vs Torino-125
L 0-1 at Inter+300
L 5-2 vs Sassuolo-220
L 0-4 at Lazio+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+228+234+245+237+239+237+245+248.8
Milan+125+128+125+123+130+123+130+130.8
Draw+243+231+220+245+221+245+245+257.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+230---+225+240+240+248.8
Milan+120---+100+120+120+130.8
Draw+240---+210+230+230+257.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 0.0%
Milan: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +244 to +237
No Steam Moves On Milan ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 0.0%
Milan: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atalanta ML
No Steam Moves On Milan ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-117o2½-104o2½+102o2½-107o2½+100o2½-107o2½+102o2½+103
Underu2½-101u2½-114u2½-122u2½-113u2½-115u2½-113u2½-113u2½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½+100--o2½-110o2½+100o2½+100o2½+103
Underu2½+100u2½-120--u2½-120u2½-120u2½-120u2½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-120 to o2½-107
The Under moved from u2½-117 to u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.5%
 
No44.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.67%
Exactly 221.92%
Exactly 417.15%
Exactly 65.37%
Exactly 80.90%
 
Exactly 114.31%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.51%
Exactly 72.35%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 036.26%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.66%
Exactly 36.31%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 012.88%
Exactly 126.40%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 318.48%
Exactly 49.47%
Exactly 53.88%
Exactly 61.33%
Exactly 70.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.20%
Exactly 224.36%
Exactly 44.08%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.34%
Exactly 311.52%
Exactly 51.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 062.52%
Exactly 129.36%
Exactly 26.90%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 038.71%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.43%
Exactly 35.51%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals6.22%
Wins by 3+ goals1.66%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals37.51%
Wins by 3+ goals18.87%
Wins by 4+ goals7.87%
Wins by 5+ goals2.73%
Wins by 6+ goals0.76%
Wins by 7+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Atalanta
Milan
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal11.69%
Wins by 2 goals4.56%
Wins by 3 goals1.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal23.63%
Wins by 2 goals18.64%
Wins by 3 goals11.00%
Wins by 4 goals5.13%
Wins by 5 goals1.97%
Wins by 6 goals0.62%
Wins by 7 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.33%4.67%
1.581.02%18.98%
2.559.10%40.90%
3.536.71%63.29%
4.519.56%80.44%
5.59.05%90.95%
6.53.68%96.32%
7.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.74%36.26%
1.526.95%73.05%
2.58.30%91.70%
3.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.12%12.88%
1.560.73%39.27%
2.533.67%66.33%
3.515.19%84.81%
4.55.72%94.28%
5.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.80%24.20%
1.541.46%58.54%
2.517.10%82.90%
3.55.58%94.42%
4.51.50%98.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atalanta
Milan
Score012345
0
4.67%
9.57%
9.81%
6.70%
3.43%
1.41%
1
4.74%
9.71%
9.95%
6.80%
3.48%
1.43%
2
2.40%
4.92%
5.05%
3.45%
1.77%
0.72%
3
0.81%
1.67%
1.71%
1.17%
0.60%
0.24%
4
0.21%
0.42%
0.43%
0.30%
0.15%
0.06%
Atalanta
1-04.74%
2-02.40%
2-14.92%
3-00.81%
3-11.67%
3-21.71%
4-00.21%
4-10.42%
4-20.43%
4-30.30%
Draw
0-04.67%
1-19.71%
2-25.05%
3-31.17%
4-40.15%
Milan
0-19.57%
0-29.81%
1-29.95%
0-36.70%
1-36.80%
2-33.45%
0-43.43%
1-43.48%
2-41.77%
3-40.60%
0-51.41%
1-51.43%
2-50.72%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Atalanta
Milan
Score012345
0
24.20%
22.97%
10.90%
3.45%
0.82%
0.16%
1
11.37%
10.79%
5.12%
1.62%
0.38%
0.07%
2
2.67%
2.53%
1.20%
0.38%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.42%
0.40%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Atalanta
1-011.37%
2-02.67%
2-12.53%
3-00.42%
3-10.40%
3-20.19%
Draw
0-024.20%
1-110.79%
2-21.20%
Milan
0-122.97%
0-210.90%
1-25.12%
0-33.45%
1-31.62%
2-30.38%
0-40.82%
1-40.38%
0-50.16%