Milan at Inter

Updated

Milan

24.8%24.9%50.3%
Milan WinDrawInter Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.60
0Final Score 1

Inter

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
L 5-2 vs Sassuolo-220
L 0-4 at Lazio+160
T 2-2 at Lecce-140
T 2-2 vs Roma-120
W 2-1 at Salernitana-210
Inter
Money Line
W 2-1 at Cremonese-225
L 1-0 vs Empoli-375
W 0-1 vs Hellas Verona-310
T 2-2 at Monza-180
W 0-1 vs Napoli+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+236+323+300+340+341+340+341+350.2
Inter+121-102-105-102+100-102+100+104.2
Draw+245+234+240+230+240+230+240+247.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+280---+280+300+300+350.2
Inter-105----125-105-105+104.2
Draw+260---+225+245+245+247.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Inter: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Inter: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Milan: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 10.0%
Inter: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +322 to +315
Inter ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Inter: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Inter: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Milan: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Inter: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +260 to +245
No Steam Moves On Inter ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-116o2½+117o2¼-115o2¼-105o2½+120o2¼-105o2¼-105o2½+126
Underu2½-102u2½-137u2¼-105u2¼-115u2½-135u2¼-115u2½-135u2½-126
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½+105--o2½-110o2½+110o2½+110o2½+126
Underu2½+100u2½-125--u2½-120u2½-130u2½-120u2½-126

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%
 
No48.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.04%
Exactly 224.79%
Exactly 414.54%
Exactly 63.41%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.68%
Exactly 321.92%
Exactly 57.72%
Exactly 71.29%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 035.03%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.27%
Exactly 36.74%
Exactly 41.77%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Inter
Exactly 020.10%
Exactly 132.25%
Exactly 225.87%
Exactly 313.83%
Exactly 45.55%
Exactly 51.78%
Exactly 60.48%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.27%
Exactly 222.09%
Exactly 42.78%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 39.05%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 061.53%
Exactly 129.88%
Exactly 27.26%
Exactly 31.18%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Inter
Exactly 047.58%
Exactly 135.34%
Exactly 213.12%
Exactly 33.25%
Exactly 40.60%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals9.13%
Wins by 3+ goals2.57%
Wins by 4+ goals0.55%
Inter
Wins by 2+ goals26.36%
Wins by 3+ goals11.02%
Wins by 4+ goals3.76%
Wins by 5+ goals1.06%
Wins by 6+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Inter
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Milan
Wins by 1 goal15.61%
Wins by 2 goals6.56%
Wins by 3 goals2.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.47%
Inter
Wins by 1 goal23.88%
Wins by 2 goals15.34%
Wins by 3 goals7.26%
Wins by 4 goals2.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.82%
Wins by 6 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.96%7.04%
1.574.27%25.73%
2.549.49%50.51%
3.527.56%72.44%
4.513.02%86.98%
5.55.31%94.69%
6.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.97%35.03%
1.528.23%71.77%
2.58.95%91.05%
3.52.21%97.79%

Total Goals Inter Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.90%20.10%
1.547.64%52.36%
2.521.77%78.23%
3.57.94%92.06%
4.52.39%97.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.73%29.27%
1.534.76%65.24%
2.512.67%87.33%
3.53.63%96.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Inter
Score012345
0
7.04%
11.30%
9.06%
4.85%
1.94%
0.62%
1
7.39%
11.85%
9.51%
5.08%
2.04%
0.65%
2
3.87%
6.22%
4.99%
2.67%
1.07%
0.34%
3
1.36%
2.17%
1.74%
0.93%
0.37%
0.12%
4
0.36%
0.57%
0.46%
0.24%
0.10%
0.03%
Milan
1-07.39%
2-03.87%
2-16.22%
3-01.36%
3-12.17%
3-21.74%
4-00.36%
4-10.57%
4-20.46%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-07.04%
1-111.85%
2-24.99%
3-30.93%
Inter
0-111.30%
0-29.06%
1-29.51%
0-34.85%
1-35.08%
2-32.67%
0-41.94%
1-42.04%
2-41.07%
3-40.37%
0-50.62%
1-50.65%
2-50.34%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Inter
Score01234
0
29.27%
21.74%
8.08%
2.00%
0.37%
1
14.22%
10.56%
3.92%
0.97%
0.18%
2
3.45%
2.56%
0.95%
0.24%
0.04%
3
0.56%
0.42%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Milan
1-014.22%
2-03.45%
2-12.56%
3-00.56%
3-10.42%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-029.27%
1-110.56%
2-20.95%
Inter
0-121.74%
0-28.08%
1-23.92%
0-32.00%
1-30.97%
2-30.24%
0-40.37%
1-40.18%
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