Milan at Cagliari

Updated

Milan

58.1%22.7%19.2%
Milan WinDrawWin
1.83Projected Goals 0.95
3Final Score 3

Cagliari

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 1-0 at Monza-160
L 2-0 vs Napoli+180
W 0-1 vs Udinese-300
L 1-2 at Fiorentina+100
W 0-3 vs Lecce-320
Cagliari
Money Line
L 1-2 at Lazio+585
L 2-0 vs Bologna+235
L 0-2 at Udinese+255
W 2-3 vs Torino+139
T 1-1 at Juventus+765

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-130-146-155-153-158-153-146-140.5
Cagliari+340+405+390+445+417+445+445+464.2
Draw+295+302+320+305+312+305+320+319.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-165--160--175-160-160-140.5
Cagliari+425-+425-+345+430+430+464.2
Draw+325-+305-+275+305+305+319.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cagliari: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Cagliari: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Cagliari: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -145 to -155
Cagliari ML moved from +390 to +380

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cagliari: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Cagliari: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Cagliari: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -150 to -160
Cagliari ML moved from +435 to +425

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110o3+104o3+102o2¾-125o3+102o2¾-125o2¾-125o2¾-114
Underu2¾-110u3-122u3-122u2¾+105u3-124u2¾+105u3-122u2¾+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o3+110o3+110-o2½-150o3+110o2½-150o2¾-114
Underu2½+125u3-130u3-130-u2½+120u3-130u3-130u2¾+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.4%
 
No48.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.21%
Exactly 223.98%
Exactly 415.43%
Exactly 63.97%
Exactly 80.55%
 
Exactly 117.27%
Exactly 322.21%
Exactly 58.57%
Exactly 71.58%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 016.02%
Exactly 129.34%
Exactly 226.86%
Exactly 316.40%
Exactly 47.51%
Exactly 52.75%
Exactly 60.84%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Cagliari
Exactly 038.78%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.40%
Exactly 35.49%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.63%
Exactly 222.86%
Exactly 43.15%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.54%
Exactly 39.80%
Exactly 50.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 042.84%
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 215.39%
Exactly 34.35%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cagliari
Exactly 064.50%
Exactly 128.28%
Exactly 26.20%
Exactly 30.91%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals33.53%
Wins by 3+ goals15.63%
Wins by 4+ goals5.98%
Wins by 5+ goals1.90%
Cagliari
Wins by 2+ goals6.44%
Wins by 3+ goals1.65%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Cagliari
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Milan
Wins by 1 goal24.55%
Wins by 2 goals17.91%
Wins by 3 goals9.64%
Wins by 4 goals4.08%
Wins by 5 goals1.41%
Cagliari
Wins by 1 goal12.70%
Wins by 2 goals4.79%
Wins by 3 goals1.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.79%6.21%
1.576.52%23.48%
2.552.53%47.47%
3.530.32%69.68%
4.514.89%85.11%
5.56.32%93.68%
6.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.98%16.02%
1.554.63%45.37%
2.527.77%72.23%
3.511.38%88.62%
4.53.87%96.13%
5.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Cagliari Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.22%38.78%
1.524.48%75.52%
2.57.08%92.92%
3.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.37%27.63%
1.536.83%63.17%
2.513.97%86.03%
3.54.17%95.83%
4.51.02%98.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Cagliari
Score01234
0
6.21%
5.89%
2.79%
0.88%
0.21%
1
11.38%
10.78%
5.10%
1.61%
0.38%
2
10.42%
9.87%
4.67%
1.48%
0.35%
3
6.36%
6.02%
2.85%
0.90%
0.21%
4
2.91%
2.76%
1.31%
0.41%
0.10%
5
1.07%
1.01%
0.48%
0.15%
0.04%
Milan
1-011.38%
2-010.42%
2-19.87%
3-06.36%
3-16.02%
3-22.85%
4-02.91%
4-12.76%
4-21.31%
4-30.41%
5-01.07%
5-11.01%
5-20.48%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-06.21%
1-110.78%
2-24.67%
3-30.90%
Cagliari
0-15.89%
0-22.79%
1-25.10%
0-30.88%
1-31.61%
2-31.48%
0-40.21%
1-40.38%
2-40.35%
3-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Cagliari
Score0123
0
27.63%
12.12%
2.66%
0.39%
1
23.42%
10.27%
2.25%
0.33%
2
9.93%
4.35%
0.95%
0.14%
3
2.81%
1.23%
0.27%
0.04%
4
0.59%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-023.42%
2-09.93%
2-14.35%
3-02.81%
3-11.23%
3-20.27%
4-00.59%
4-10.26%
5-00.10%
Draw
0-027.63%
1-110.27%
2-20.95%
Cagliari
0-112.12%
0-22.66%
1-22.25%
0-30.39%
1-30.33%
2-30.14%