Milan at Bologna

Updated

Milan

45.0%26.1%28.9%
Milan WinDrawBologna Win
1.46Projected Goals 1.11

Bologna

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Udinese-300
L 1-2 at Fiorentina+100
W 0-3 vs Lecce-320
W 2-1 at Inter+435
W 0-4 vs Venezia-385
Bologna
Money Line
T 2-2 at Genoa+115
T 0-0 vs Parma-105
T 1-1 vs Atalanta+191
W 2-1 at Monza+150
T 2-2 at Como+158

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+100+108+105+108+108+108+108+115.3
Bologna+255+252+255+253+253+253+255+265.4
Draw+280+263+260+269+269+269+269+281.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-----+115.3
Bologna-----+265.4
Draw-----+281.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bologna: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Bologna: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Bologna: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +100 to -105
No Steam Moves On Bologna ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120o2½-132o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+100o2½-132o2¾+109
Underu2¾+100u2½+112u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+109
Under-----u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%
 
No48.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.65%
Exactly 225.27%
Exactly 413.92%
Exactly 63.07%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.66%
Exactly 321.66%
Exactly 57.16%
Exactly 71.13%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 023.29%
Exactly 133.94%
Exactly 224.73%
Exactly 312.01%
Exactly 44.38%
Exactly 51.28%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Bologna
Exactly 032.83%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 220.36%
Exactly 37.56%
Exactly 42.11%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.41%
Exactly 221.55%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 38.55%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 050.93%
Exactly 134.36%
Exactly 211.59%
Exactly 32.61%
Exactly 40.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bologna
Exactly 059.71%
Exactly 130.79%
Exactly 27.94%
Exactly 31.36%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals21.93%
Wins by 3+ goals8.43%
Wins by 4+ goals2.60%
Wins by 5+ goals0.63%
Bologna
Wins by 2+ goals11.24%
Wins by 3+ goals3.35%
Wins by 4+ goals0.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Bologna
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Milan
Wins by 1 goal22.99%
Wins by 2 goals13.50%
Wins by 3 goals5.83%
Wins by 4 goals1.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Bologna
Wins by 1 goal17.57%
Wins by 2 goals7.89%
Wins by 3 goals2.59%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.35%7.65%
1.572.70%27.30%
2.547.43%52.57%
3.525.77%74.23%
4.511.85%88.15%
5.54.69%95.31%
6.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.71%23.29%
1.542.78%57.22%
2.518.05%81.95%
3.56.04%93.96%
4.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Bologna Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.17%32.83%
1.530.60%69.40%
2.510.24%89.76%
3.52.68%97.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.59%30.41%
1.533.39%66.61%
2.511.84%88.16%
3.53.29%96.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Bologna
Score012345
0
7.65%
8.52%
4.74%
1.76%
0.49%
0.11%
1
11.14%
12.41%
6.91%
2.57%
0.71%
0.16%
2
8.12%
9.04%
5.04%
1.87%
0.52%
0.12%
3
3.94%
4.39%
2.45%
0.91%
0.25%
0.06%
4
1.44%
1.60%
0.89%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.42%
0.47%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Milan
1-011.14%
2-08.12%
2-19.04%
3-03.94%
3-14.39%
3-22.45%
4-01.44%
4-11.60%
4-20.89%
4-30.33%
5-00.42%
5-10.47%
5-20.26%
Draw
0-07.65%
1-112.41%
2-25.04%
3-30.91%
Bologna
0-18.52%
0-24.74%
1-26.91%
0-31.76%
1-32.57%
2-31.87%
0-40.49%
1-40.71%
2-40.52%
3-40.25%
0-50.11%
1-50.16%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Bologna
Score0123
0
30.41%
15.68%
4.04%
0.70%
1
20.52%
10.58%
2.73%
0.47%
2
6.92%
3.57%
0.92%
0.16%
3
1.56%
0.80%
0.21%
0.04%
4
0.26%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Milan
1-020.52%
2-06.92%
2-13.57%
3-01.56%
3-10.80%
3-20.21%
4-00.26%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-030.41%
1-110.58%
2-20.92%
Bologna
0-115.68%
0-24.04%
1-22.73%
0-30.70%
1-30.47%
2-30.16%