Lecce at Atalanta

Updated

Lecce

7.8%13.2%79.0%
WinDrawAtalanta Win
0.79Projected Goals 2.81
0Final Score 1

Atalanta

Last 5 Games

Lecce
Money Line
L 0-2 at Inter+1125
L 1-2 at Roma+610
L 1-0 vs Torino+176
T 1-1 vs Sassuolo+165
L 4-0 vs Napoli+403
Atalanta
Money Line
L 0-1 at Bologna+176
W 1-4 vs Salernitana-375
W 2-3 vs Milan+155
L 0-3 at Torino+155
L 2-1 vs Napoli+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+690+764+700+820+769+820+820+851.7
Atalanta-220-263-275-265-264-270-263-239.4
Draw+355+400+420+400+413+410+420+427.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+645-+810-+600+685+810+851.7
Atalanta-215--270--280-245-245-239.4
Draw+330-+369-+300+365+369+427.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Atalanta: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 10.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +775 to +744
Atalanta ML moved from -255 to -263

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Atalanta: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 10.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +630 to +600
Atalanta ML moved from -230 to -270

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-111o3+119o2¾-112o2¾-111o2¾-107o2¾-111o2¾-107o2¾-101
Underu2½-109u3-141u2¾-108u2¾-109u2¾-107u2¾-109u2¾-107u2¾+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-115o2½-115-o2½-125o2½-120o2½-115o2¾-101
Underu2½-105u2½-105u2½-105-u2½-105u2½+100u2½+100u2¾+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-120 to o2¾-109
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.4%
 
No48.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.73%
Exactly 217.70%
Exactly 419.12%
Exactly 68.26%
Exactly 81.91%
Exactly 100.28%
 
Exactly 19.83%
Exactly 321.24%
Exactly 513.77%
Exactly 74.25%
Exactly 90.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 045.26%
Exactly 135.88%
Exactly 214.22%
Exactly 33.76%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 06.03%
Exactly 116.94%
Exactly 223.78%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 415.63%
Exactly 58.78%
Exactly 64.11%
Exactly 71.65%
Exactly 80.58%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.88%
Exactly 226.23%
Exactly 46.08%
Exactly 60.56%
 
Exactly 131.47%
Exactly 314.58%
Exactly 52.03%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 069.28%
Exactly 125.43%
Exactly 24.67%
Exactly 30.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 027.25%
Exactly 135.43%
Exactly 223.03%
Exactly 39.98%
Exactly 43.24%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals2.15%
Wins by 3+ goals0.45%
Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals58.93%
Wins by 3+ goals37.60%
Wins by 4+ goals20.50%
Wins by 5+ goals9.63%
Wins by 6+ goals3.93%
Wins by 7+ goals1.39%
Wins by 8+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Lecce
Atalanta
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal5.65%
Wins by 2 goals1.70%
Wins by 3 goals0.38%
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal20.02%
Wins by 2 goals21.34%
Wins by 3 goals17.10%
Wins by 4 goals10.87%
Wins by 5 goals5.70%
Wins by 6 goals2.54%
Wins by 7 goals0.98%
Wins by 8 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.27%2.73%
1.587.44%12.56%
2.569.74%30.26%
3.548.49%51.51%
4.529.37%70.63%
5.515.60%84.40%
6.57.33%92.67%
7.53.08%96.92%
8.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.74%45.26%
1.518.86%81.14%
2.54.64%95.36%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.97%6.03%
1.577.03%22.97%
2.553.24%46.76%
3.530.98%69.02%
4.515.36%84.64%
5.56.58%93.42%
6.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.12%18.88%
1.549.65%50.35%
2.523.41%76.59%
3.58.83%91.17%
4.52.76%97.24%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lecce
Atalanta
Score012345
0
2.73%
7.67%
10.76%
10.08%
7.07%
3.97%
1
2.16%
6.08%
8.53%
7.99%
5.61%
3.15%
2
0.86%
2.41%
3.38%
3.17%
2.22%
1.25%
3
0.23%
0.64%
0.89%
0.84%
0.59%
0.33%
Lecce
1-02.16%
2-00.86%
2-12.41%
3-00.23%
3-10.64%
3-20.89%
Draw
0-02.73%
1-16.08%
2-23.38%
3-30.84%
4-40.12%
Atalanta
0-17.67%
0-210.76%
1-28.53%
0-310.08%
1-37.99%
2-33.17%
0-47.07%
1-45.61%
2-42.22%
3-40.59%
0-53.97%
1-53.15%
2-51.25%
3-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

Lecce
Atalanta
Score0123456
0
18.88%
24.54%
15.95%
6.91%
2.25%
0.58%
0.13%
1
6.93%
9.01%
5.86%
2.54%
0.82%
0.21%
0.05%
2
1.27%
1.65%
1.07%
0.47%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.16%
0.20%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Lecce
1-06.93%
2-01.27%
2-11.65%
3-00.16%
3-10.20%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-018.88%
1-19.01%
2-21.07%
Atalanta
0-124.54%
0-215.95%
1-25.86%
0-36.91%
1-32.54%
2-30.47%
0-42.25%
1-40.82%
2-40.15%
0-50.58%
1-50.21%
0-60.13%