Atalanta at Roma

Updated

Atalanta

33.5%25.8%40.7%
Atalanta WinDrawRoma Win
1.27Projected Goals 1.42
1Final Score 1

Roma

Last 5 Games

Atalanta
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Lecce-245
L 0-1 at Bologna+176
W 1-4 vs Salernitana-375
W 2-3 vs Milan+155
L 0-3 at Torino+155
Roma
Money Line
L 0-1 at Juventus+309
W 0-2 vs Napoli+190
L 0-2 at Bologna+230
T 1-1 vs Fiorentina+100
W 2-1 at Sassuolo+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+215+249+240+253+258+260+260+272.5
Roma+147+130+130+128+126+125+130+132.8
Draw+220+215+210+220+219+220+220+231.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+210-+240-+190+235+240+272.5
Roma+140-+125-+125+125+130+132.8
Draw+214-+218-+195+225+218+231.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 10.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 10.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +250 to +240
Roma ML moved from +134 to +128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 10.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +240 to +233
Roma ML moved from +135 to +125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-117o2-138o2¼+100o2¼+100o2¼+104o2¼+100o2-138o2¼+109
Underu2¼-103u2+116u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120o2-140o2-140-o2½+115o2-140o2-135o2¼+109
Underu2½-140u2+120u2+120-u2½-145u2+120u2½-145u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.5%
 
No45.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.78%
Exactly 224.56%
Exactly 414.81%
Exactly 63.57%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.25%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 57.97%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 028.14%
Exactly 135.68%
Exactly 222.62%
Exactly 39.56%
Exactly 43.03%
Exactly 50.77%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 024.11%
Exactly 134.30%
Exactly 224.40%
Exactly 311.57%
Exactly 44.11%
Exactly 51.17%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.77%
Exactly 222.33%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 39.27%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 055.60%
Exactly 132.64%
Exactly 29.58%
Exactly 31.87%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 051.75%
Exactly 134.09%
Exactly 211.23%
Exactly 32.46%
Exactly 40.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals14.43%
Wins by 3+ goals4.86%
Wins by 4+ goals1.31%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%
Roma
Wins by 2+ goals19.20%
Wins by 3+ goals7.16%
Wins by 4+ goals2.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Atalanta
Roma
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal19.08%
Wins by 2 goals9.57%
Wins by 3 goals3.55%
Wins by 4 goals1.03%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%
Roma
Wins by 1 goal21.40%
Wins by 2 goals12.04%
Wins by 3 goals5.01%
Wins by 4 goals1.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.22%6.78%
1.574.96%25.04%
2.550.41%49.59%
3.528.38%71.62%
4.513.57%86.43%
5.55.60%94.40%
6.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.86%28.14%
1.536.18%63.82%
2.513.56%86.44%
3.54.00%96.00%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.89%24.11%
1.541.59%58.41%
2.517.20%82.80%
3.55.63%94.37%
4.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.23%28.77%
1.535.38%64.62%
2.513.06%86.94%
3.53.79%96.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atalanta
Roma
Score012345
0
6.78%
9.65%
6.87%
3.26%
1.16%
0.33%
1
8.60%
12.24%
8.70%
4.13%
1.47%
0.42%
2
5.45%
7.76%
5.52%
2.62%
0.93%
0.26%
3
2.30%
3.28%
2.33%
1.11%
0.39%
0.11%
4
0.73%
1.04%
0.74%
0.35%
0.12%
0.04%
5
0.19%
0.26%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Atalanta
1-08.60%
2-05.45%
2-17.76%
3-02.30%
3-13.28%
3-22.33%
4-00.73%
4-11.04%
4-20.74%
4-30.35%
5-00.19%
5-10.26%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-06.78%
1-112.24%
2-25.52%
3-31.11%
4-40.12%
Roma
0-19.65%
0-26.87%
1-28.70%
0-33.26%
1-34.13%
2-32.62%
0-41.16%
1-41.47%
2-40.93%
3-40.39%
0-50.33%
1-50.42%
2-50.26%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Atalanta
Roma
Score01234
0
28.77%
18.95%
6.24%
1.37%
0.23%
1
16.89%
11.13%
3.66%
0.80%
0.13%
2
4.96%
3.27%
1.08%
0.24%
0.04%
3
0.97%
0.64%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.14%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Atalanta
1-016.89%
2-04.96%
2-13.27%
3-00.97%
3-10.64%
3-20.21%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-028.77%
1-111.13%
2-21.08%
Roma
0-118.95%
0-26.24%
1-23.66%
0-31.37%
1-30.80%
2-30.24%
0-40.23%
1-40.13%