Twins at Rays

Updated

Minnesota Twins

(82-80)
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
42.8%57.2%
Twins WinRays Win
3.78Projected Runs 4.54
0Final Score 7

Tampa Bay Rays

(80-82)
Rank20
R/G3.7
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank20
R/G3.7
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Louie Varland (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
73-13.511.146

Zach Eflin (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
107-13.31.0

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Triston McKenzie • MIN: Joe Ryan-132
L 4-2 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Logan Allen • MIN: Sonny Gray-123
W 0-1 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Bailey Ober-124
W 6-7 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Tanner Bibee • MIN: Pablo Lopez-134
W 8-2 at Houston AstrosMIN: Louie Varland • HOU: Hunter Brown+168
Tampa Bay Rays
Money Line
W 4-1 at Boston Red SoxTBR: Shane McClanahan • BOS: Brayan Bello-137
W 6-2 at Boston Red SoxTBR: Taj Bradley • BOS: Tanner Houck-119
W 4-2 at Boston Red SoxTBR: Tyler Glasnow • BOS: Kutter Crawford-150
L 5-8 at Boston Red SoxTBR: Trevor Kelley • BOS: Garrett Whitlock+108
W 4-3 at Chicago CubsTBR: Zach Eflin • CHC: Justin Steele-134

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • 3BKyle FarmerRest
  • LFJoey Gallo10-day IL
  • PJorge AlcalaUnknown
  • LFNick Gordon10-day IL
  • DHByron Buxton10-day IL

Tampa Bay Rays

Status
  • 2BBrandon Lowe10-day IL
  • PJosh Fleming10-day IL
  • PZack LittellUnknown
  • PPeter FairbanksUnknown
  • RFManuel MargotRest
  • PGarrett Cleavinger60-day IL
  • 3BIsaac ParedesRest
  • PDrew Rasmussen60-day IL
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+148+144+142+147+149+147+149+151.6
Rays-161-154-172-159-159-159-154-151.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+140+150+148+143+149+145+150+151.6
Rays-165-160-163-170-163-170-160-151.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 10.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +153 to +146
Rays ML moved from -165 to -172

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 20.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +146 to +140
Rays ML moved from -154 to -162

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-135+1½-148+1½-150+1½-150+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-138
Rays-1½+115-1½+132-1½+130-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-1½+132-1½+138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-135+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-138
Rays-1½+115-1½+125-1½+127-1½+122-1½+125-1½+130-1½+130-1½+138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-125o7½+102o7½+100o7½-102o7½+100o7½-102o7½+102o7½+107
Underu8+105u7½-118u7½-120u7½-118u7½-120u7½-118u7½-118u7½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o7½+105o7½+100o7½+105o7½-105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+107
Underu8-100u7½-125u7½-120u7½-125u7½-115u7½-125u7½-115u7½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-125
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