Red Sox at Brewers

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
42.7%57.3%
Red Sox WinBrewers Win
4.01Projected Runs 4.78
5Final Score 3
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Nick Pivetta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-14.51.357

Freddy Peralta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
32-13.181.294

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 5-11 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Kenta Maeda • BOS: Tanner Houck-112
L 10-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • BOS: Corey Kluber+130
W 4-5 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Sonny Gray • BOS: Chris Sale+107
L 5-4 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Shohei Ohtani • BOS: Brayan Bello+126
W 1-2 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Reid Detmers • BOS: Garrett Whitlock-102
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 5-3 at Seattle MarinersMIL: Eric Lauer • SEA: Marco Gonzales+124
W 6-5 at Seattle MarinersMIL: Colin Rea • SEA: Logan Gilbert+145
W 7-3 at Seattle MarinersMIL: Corbin Burnes • SEA: Chris Flexen-138
W 1-0 at San Diego PadresMIL: Wade Miley • SDP: Yu Darvish+155
L 3-10 at San Diego PadresMIL: Freddy Peralta • SDP: Seth Lugo+133

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • LFAdam Duvall10-day IL
  • PWyatt MillsUnknown
  • PJames PaxtonUnknown
  • LFZack Kelly60-day IL
  • SSAdalberto MondesiOut
  • 2BTrevor StoryOut
  • PBrayan BelloUnknown
  • PJoely RodriguezUnknown
  • -Chris MartinUnknown
  • 2BChristian ArroyoUnknown

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PCorbin BurnesUnknown
  • 3BLuis Urias60-day IL
  • -Gus VarlandUnknown
  • PBrandon WoodruffUnknown
  • PJustin Wilson60-day IL
  • LFGarrett Mitchell10-day IL
  • PAdrian HouserUnknown
  • PAaron Ashby60-day IL
  • CFTyrone Taylor10-day IL
W 13 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
To LeftModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)53°50°48°45°
Humidity45%48%52%57%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindW 13 mphW 10 mphW 9 mphW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+135+151+141+148+152+148+152+153.0
Brewers-145-161-170-161-162-161-161-153.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+143+155+153+143+154+153+155+153.0
Brewers-170-170-168-170-168-168-168-153.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +158 to +152
Brewers ML moved from -158 to -169

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +163 to +152
Brewers ML moved from -170 to -180

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-155+1½-143+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-128
Brewers-1½+135-1½+127-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+127-1½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-140+1½-140+1½-138+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-138+1½-128
Brewers-1½+118-1½+120-1½+120-1½+118-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9+102o8½-125o8½-127o9-105o8½-127o9+102o8½-116
Underu9-105u9-118u8½+105u8½+107u9-115u8½+107u9-115u8½+116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-116
Underu8½-100u8½+100u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-105 to u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110