Diamondbacks at Pirates

Updated
Rank6
R/G5.5
RA/G4.9
50.7%49.3%
Diamondbacks WinPirates Win
4.04Projected Runs 3.96
8Final Score 6
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank6
R/G5.5
RA/G4.9
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Merrill Kelly (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
103-33.671.352

JT Brubaker (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
100-44.151.385

Last 5 Games

Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
L 6-0 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Kyle Wright • ARI: Madison Bumgarner+135
W 7-8 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • ARI: Humberto Castellanos+150
W 2-6 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Spencer Strider • ARI: Zac Gallen+105
L 3-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Tyler Anderson • ARI: Zach Davies+189
L 3-2 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Tony Gonsolin • ARI: Merrill Kelly+170
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 8-4 at Los Angeles DodgersPIT: Jose Quintana • LAD: Mitchell White+233
W 5-3 at Los Angeles DodgersPIT: Mitch Keller • LAD: Julio Urias+305
W 6-5 at Los Angeles DodgersPIT: Zach Thompson • LAD: Walker Buehler+300
L 2-4 at San Diego PadresPIT: Roansy Contreras • SDP: MacKenzie Gore+165
W 4-2 at San Diego PadresPIT: JT Brubaker • SDP: Joe Musgrove+205

Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • CCarson Kelly10-day IL
  • PHumberto CastellanosUnknown
  • PKeynan MiddletonUnknown
  • CCooper Hummel10-day IL
  • SSNick Ahmed10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 1BDaniel Vogelbach10-day IL
  • DHYoshitomo Tsutsugo10-day IL
  • 2BJosh VanMeterQuestionable
  • CRoberto PerezOut for Season
  • PHeath HembreeUnknown
  • CFJake Marisnick10-day IL
  • LFBen Gamel10-day IL
W 6 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
To CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)75°72°70°70°
Humidity37%46%49%55%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindW 6 mphW 5 mphWNW 4 mphSW 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks-110-120-112-115-112-112-112-109.1
Pirates+100+100+102+105+102+102+105+109.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+108-116-112-115-110-113-112-109.1
Pirates-118+106+102+105+100+103+106+109.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Diamondbacks ML moved from +100 to -105
Pirates ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Diamondbacks ML moved from -110 to -118
Pirates ML moved from +108 to +102

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks-1½+150-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+149
Pirates+1½-170+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-149
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½-185-1½+145+1½-225-1½+145-1½+145-1½+140-1½+149
Pirates-1½+165+1½-165-1½+197+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160+1½-149

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8-120o8½+100o8-120o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8-109
Underu8-120u8+100u8½-120u8+100u8½-120u8½-120u8+100u8+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o8-125o8-120o8½-110o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-109
Underu7½-105u8+105u8+100u8½-110u8+100u8+100u8½-110u8+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-115
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-115
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115