Pirates at Padres

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
34.7%65.3%
Pirates WinPadres Win
3.34Projected Runs 4.93
2Final Score 4
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Roansy Contreras (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-00.00.0

MacKenzie Gore (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
63-12.061.143

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 4-2 at San Diego PadresPIT: JT Brubaker • SDP: Joe Musgrove+205
L 3-4 at San Diego PadresPIT: Jose Quintana • SDP: Sean Manaea+198
W 5-10 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Ryan Feltner • PIT: Zach Thompson-124
L 2-1 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Kyle Freeland • PIT: Roansy Contreras-110
W 1-2 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Chad Kuhl • PIT: JT Brubaker-129
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • SDP: Joe Musgrove-220
W 3-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jose Quintana • SDP: Sean Manaea-215
L 2-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Ashby • SDP: Yu Darvish-135
L 4-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • SDP: Blake Snell+118
W 2-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • SDP: Nick Martinez-105

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PHeath HembreeUnknown
  • 1BDaniel Vogelbach10-day IL
  • CRoberto PerezOut for Season
  • LFBen Gamel10-day IL
  • CFJake Marisnick10-day IL
  • DHYoshitomo Tsutsugo10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • 1BMatt BeatyUnknown
  • CAustin NolaRest
  • 3BManny MachadoUnknown
  • PMike ClevingerUnknown
  • RFWil MyersRest
SW 10 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
To RightSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)68°68°68°68°
Humidity63%63%63%69%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSW 10 mphSW 10 mphSW 10 mphWSW 9 mph
CB Bucknor
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+180+148+158+162+157+158+162+165.5
Padres-190-180-172-172-172-172-172-165.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+175+165+158+165+164+162+165+165.5
Padres-195-180-174-180-180-174-174-165.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +167 to +159
Padres ML moved from -190 to -197

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +171 to +162
Padres ML moved from -199 to -205

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-150+1½-135+1½-147+1½-135+1½-142+1½-147+1½-135+1½-128
Padres-1½+130-1½+115-1½+127-1½+115-1½+122-1½+127-1½+127-1½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-125+1½-140+1½-144+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-128
Padres-1½+105-1½+120-1½+126-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+126-1½+128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7+100o7+100o7+100o7+100o7+100o7+100o7+100o7+104
Underu7-120u7-120u7-120u7-120u7-120u7-120u7-120u7-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-120o7-110o7-110o7-105o7-110o7-110o7-105o7+104
Underu7-100u7-110u7-110u7-115u7-110u7-110u7-110u7-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-120 to o7½-105
The Under moved from u7-105 to u7-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-120 to o7½-105
The Under moved from u7+100 to u7-110