Cubs at Mets

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
43.0%57.0%
Cubs WinMets Win
4.21Projected Runs 4.94
2Final Score 11
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
208-74.711.349

Kodai Senga (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
207-63.251.292

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 4-6 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • CHC: Justin Steele+116
W 6-8 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Bryce Elder • CHC: Javier Assad+139
L 8-0 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Max Fried • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+160
W 3-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luke Weaver • CHC: Jameson Taillon-154
W 6-16 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Brandon Williamson • CHC: Drew Smyly-152
New York Mets
Money Line
L 0-2 at Baltimore OriolesNYM: José Quintana • BAL: Kyle Bradish+176
L 3-7 at Baltimore OriolesNYM: Tylor Megill • BAL: Kyle Gibson+158
L 3-10 at Baltimore OriolesNYM: David Peterson • BAL: Dean Kremer+140
L 2-9 at Kansas City RoyalsNYM: Carlos Carrasco • KCR: Brady Singer+100
L 0-4 at Kansas City RoyalsNYM: Kodai Senga • KCR: Cole Ragans-150

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PMarcus Stroman15-day IL
  • RFSeiya SuzukiRest

New York Mets

Status
  • RFStarling Marte10-day IL
  • PStephen Ridings60-day IL
  • PElieser Hernandez15-day IL
  • 2BLuis Guillorme10-day IL
S 15 mph
Citi Field, Queens, NY
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)77°76°76°76°
Humidity83%86%87%86%
Precipitation30%39%31%48%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly CloudyCloudy
WindS 15 mphS 14 mphS 13 mphS 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+125-102-109+104-105+104+104+108.7
Mets-136-106-111-114-105-114-105-108.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+115-102-102+100-105-106+100+108.7
Mets-125-108-108-110-105-110-105-108.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Mets: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +100 to -102
Mets ML moved from -104 to -114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Mets: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Mets: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +100 to -106
Mets ML moved from -108 to -116

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-175+1½-202+1½-210+1½-195+1½-200+1½-195+1½-195+1½-178
Mets-1½+155-1½+178-1½+175-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+178-1½+178
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-175+1½-200+1½-196+1½-210+1½-200+1½-210+1½-196+1½-178
Mets-1½+155-1½+175-1½+174-1½+175-1½+175-1½+175-1½+175-1½+178

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9-103o9-105o9-102o9-105o9-102o9-102o9+107
Underu8½-105u9-113u9-115u9-118u9-115u9-118u9-113u9-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9-105o9-115o9-120o9-110o9-115o9-105o9+107
Underu8½-110u9-115u9-105u9+100u9-110u9-105u9+100u9-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-119
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115