Padres at Phillies

Updated
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.3
41.9%58.1%
Padres WinPhillies Win
3.98Projected Runs 4.83
3Final Score 4
Rank1
R/G5.0
RA/G3.6
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.3
Rank1
R/G5.0
RA/G3.6

Pitching

Michael King (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
145-43.581.229

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
148-33.481.08

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 2-9 at Philadelphia PhilliesSDP: Randy Vásquez • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez+176
L 6-11 at New York MetsSDP: Dylan Cease • NYM: Tylor Megill-134
L 1-5 at New York MetsSDP: Adam Mazur • NYM: Jose Quintana+120
L 1-2 at New York MetsSDP: Matt Waldron • NYM: Sean Manaea+103
W 4-5 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Hogan Harris • SDP: Michael King-210
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 2-9 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Randy Vásquez • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez-190
L 3-8 at Baltimore OriolesPHI: Zack Wheeler • BAL: Corbin Burnes+126
L 2-6 at Baltimore OriolesPHI: Taijuan Walker • BAL: Grayson Rodriguez+170
W 5-3 at Baltimore OriolesPHI: Ranger Suárez • BAL: Kyle Bradish+130
L 3-9 at Boston Red SoxPHI: Aaron Nola • BOS: Tanner Houck-101

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PJason GroomeOut for Season
  • RFFernando Tatis Jr.Rest
  • SSTucupita MarcanoUnknown
  • PYu Darvish15-day IL
  • 2BXander Bogaerts10-day IL
  • PJoe Musgrove15-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • 2BKody Clemens10-day IL
  • PMichael Rucker60-day IL
  • CJ.T. Realmuto10-day IL
S 10 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)90°87°83°80°
Humidity48%48%49%52%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearMostly Clear
WindS 10 mphS 10 mphS 10 mphS 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+147+147+143+142+148+142+148+147.1
Phillies-160-159-174-155-158-155-155-147.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+135+142+146+149+151+145+151+147.1
Phillies-147-152-160-164-165-160-152-147.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +148 to +142
Phillies ML moved from -151 to -157

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +150 to +142
Phillies ML moved from -153 to -160

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-155+1½-138+1½-140+1½-142+1½-145+1½-142+1½-138+1½-130
Phillies-1½+135-1½+122-1½+120-1½+122-1½+125-1½+122-1½+122-1½+130
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-155+1½-135+1½-138+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-135+1½-130
Phillies-1½+135-1½+115-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-118o8½-110o8½-120o8½-115o8½-120o8½-110o8½-109
Underu8½-120u8½+102u8½-110u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+102u8½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-109
Underu8½-115u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
No Steam Moves On Under