Phillies at Red Sox

Updated
Rank2
R/G5.0
RA/G3.6
52.1%47.9%
Phillies WinRed Sox Win
4.46Projected Runs 4.24
3Final Score 9
Rank12
R/G4.6
RA/G4.2
Rank2
R/G5.0
RA/G3.6
Rank12
R/G4.6
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
138-22.770.972

Tanner Houck (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
136-51.910.918

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 6-8 at Boston Red SoxPHI: Cristopher Sánchez • BOS: Nick Pivetta-117
W 4-1 at Boston Red SoxPHI: Zack Wheeler • BOS: Kutter Crawford-150
L 6-5 vs New York MetsNYM: Jose Quintana • PHI: Taijuan Walker-140
W 7-2 vs New York MetsPHI: Ranger Suárez • NYM: Sean Manaea-152
W 0-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Ashby • PHI: Aaron Nola-152
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 6-8 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Cristopher Sánchez • BOS: Nick Pivetta+110
L 4-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • BOS: Kutter Crawford+147
W 6-4 at Chicago White SoxBOS: Zack Kelly • CHW: Chris Flexen-138
L 1-6 at Chicago White SoxBOS: Brayan Bello • CHW: Nick Nastrini-220
L 2-7 at Chicago White SoxBOS: Cooper Criswell • CHW: Garrett Crochet-103

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • CJ.T. Realmuto10-day IL
  • PMichael Rucker60-day IL
  • 2BKody Clemens10-day IL
  • CFBrandon Marsh10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PGarrett Whitlock60-day IL
  • CFWilyer Abreu10-day IL
  • PChris Martin15-day IL
  • 2BVaughn Grissom10-day IL
  • 2BRomy Gonzalez10-day IL
SSW 11 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterVery High on Over
 
Temp (°F)79°77°74°72°
Humidity52%57%60%64%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly ClearMostly ClearClear
WindSSW 11 mphSSW 11 mphSSW 10 mphSSW 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-120-106-111-104-101-104-101+100.9
Red Sox+110-104-109-106-109-106-104-100.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-112-103-103-103-101-104-101+100.9
Red Sox+102-107-107-112-109-106-106-100.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -106 to -112
Red Sox ML moved from +101 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -109 to -116
Red Sox ML moved from +103 to -105

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+145-1½+147+1½-230-1½+147-1½+150-1½+147-1½+154
Red Sox+1½-165+1½-163-1½+190+1½-167+1½-170+1½-167+1½-154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+140-1½+155-1½+155-1½+160-1½+155-1½+155-1½+160-1½+154
Red Sox+1½-160+1½-175+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8½-108o8½-110o8½-106o8½-110o8½-106o8½-106o8½+104
Underu8+100u8½-108u8½-110u8½-114u8½-110u8½-114u8½-108u8½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8½-110o8½-110o8½-105o8½-105o8½-110o8½-105o8½+104
Underu8+100u8½-110u8½-110u8½-115u8½-115u8½-110u8½-110u8½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½+101 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-120 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110