Red Sox at Astros

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
35.2%64.8%
Red Sox WinAstros Win
3.48Projected Runs 5.03
1Final Score 6
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Rich Hill (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
154-44.21.288

Jose Urquidy (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
199-43.861.211

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 2-1 at Houston AstrosBOS: Kutter Crawford • HOU: Cristian Javier+185
W 3-2 at Houston AstrosBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • HOU: Luis Garcia+160
W 2-7 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Ashby • BOS: Josh Winckowski+129
L 9-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • BOS: Nick Pivetta+105
L 4-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • BOS: Austin Davis+153
Houston Astros
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • HOU: Cristian Javier-195
L 3-2 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • HOU: Luis Garcia-164
W 2-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: George Kirby • HOU: Jake Odorizzi-135
L 5-4 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Chris Flexen • HOU: Framber Valdez-185
W 1-11 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Robbie Ray • HOU: Justin Verlander-180

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • CFEnrique Hernandez60-day IL
  • LFRob Refsnyder10-day IL
  • PMichael WachaUnknown
  • PMatt StrahmUnknown
  • 2BTrevor Story10-day IL
  • PTyler DanishUnknown
  • PRich HillUnknown
  • DHJ.D. MartinezRest
  • PChris SaleUnknown

Houston Astros

Status
  • 1BYuli GurrielRest
  • CMartin MaldonadoRest
S 10 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)95°95°96°97°
Humidity51%48%49%47%
Precipitation0%1%3%4%
ConditionHumidHumidHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly Cloudy
WindS 10 mphS 10 mphS 11 mphS 12 mph
Jim Wolf
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+170+172+158+166+169+166+172+178.5
Astros-210-186-193-181-189-181-181-178.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+170+170+167+170+176+173+176+178.5
Astros-188-185-184-205-195-188-184-178.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +165 to +156
Astros ML moved from -210 to -220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +170 to +162
Astros ML moved from -195 to -205

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-110+1½-123+1½-125+1½-125+1½-120+1½-125+1½-120+1½-119
Astros-1½-110-1½+107-1½+105-1½+105-1½+100-1½+105-1½+107-1½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-118+1½-110+1½-128+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-128+1½-119
Astros-1½+100-1½-110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-108o8½-110o8½-115o8½-110o8½-115o8½-108o8½+100
Underu8½-110u8½-108u8½-110u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o9+110o8½-120o8½-110o8½-110o8½+100
Underu8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u9-130u8½+100u8½-110u8½+100u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-103 to o8½-113
The Under moved from u8½-104 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o9-105
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8½-105