Red Sox at Astros

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
38.1%61.9%
Red Sox WinAstros Win
3.57Projected Runs 4.82
2Final Score 1
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Kutter Crawford (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-34.151.217

Cristian Javier (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
156-63.261.064

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 3-2 at Houston AstrosBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • HOU: Luis Garcia+160
W 2-7 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Ashby • BOS: Josh Winckowski+129
L 9-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • BOS: Nick Pivetta+105
L 4-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • BOS: Austin Davis+153
W 2-4 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Triston McKenzie • BOS: Kutter Crawford+123
Houston Astros
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • HOU: Luis Garcia-164
W 2-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: George Kirby • HOU: Jake Odorizzi-135
L 5-4 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Chris Flexen • HOU: Framber Valdez-185
W 1-11 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Robbie Ray • HOU: Justin Verlander-180
W 2-4 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • HOU: Jose Urquidy-133

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BTrevor Story10-day IL
  • PRich HillUnknown
  • PMatt StrahmUnknown
  • LFRob Refsnyder10-day IL
  • CFEnrique Hernandez60-day IL
  • SSXander BogaertsRest
  • PChris SaleUnknown
  • PMichael WachaUnknown
  • PTyler DanishUnknown

Houston Astros

Status
  • DHTrey ManciniRest
  • 3BAlex BregmanUnknown
  • 1BTaylor JonesUnknown
  • CChristian VazquezRest
S 14 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
UnknownModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)94°90°86°84°
Humidity55%63%73%80%
Precipitation1%1%0%0%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumidHumid
WindS 14 mphS 14 mphS 12 mphS 11 mph
James Hoye
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+185+184+170+181+177+181+184+187.1
Astros-225-204-210-197-197-197-197-187.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+165+185+176+175+182+180+185+187.1
Astros-182-210-195-210-202-200-195-187.1

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Red Sox: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +182 to +175
Astros ML moved from -200 to -210

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
Astros ML moved from -200 to -210

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-110+1½-113+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-113+1½-109
Astros-1½-110-1½-103-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-103-1½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-131+1½-115+1½-120+1½-120+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-109
Astros-1½+113-1½-105-1½+102-1½+100-1½-105-1½-105-1½+102-1½+109

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-118o8-115o8-119o8-119o8-119o8-115o8-104
Underu8-115u8+102u8-105u8-101u8-101u8-101u8+102u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-115o8-110o8-104
Underu8-115u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-105u8-105u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-113 to o8-119
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under