Brewers at Phillies

Updated
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
42.1%57.9%
Brewers WinPhillies Win
3.69Projected Runs 4.52
3Final Score 4
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Julio Teheran (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-33.641.021

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
198-64.391.109

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 4-3 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Adrian Houser • CIN: Ben Lively+127
W 3-0 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Freddy Peralta • CIN: Andrew Abbott+113
W 1-0 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Corbin Burnes • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-109
W 0-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Ben Lively • MIL: Wade Miley-119
L 8-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luke Weaver • MIL: Colin Rea-120
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 6-7 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Seth Lugo • PHI: Zack Wheeler-140
W 4-9 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Ryan Weathers • PHI: Taijuan Walker-117
W 4-6 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Blake Snell • PHI: Ranger Suárez+150
L 8-3 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Yu Darvish • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez+100
L 3-7 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Aaron Nola • MIA: Jesús Luzardo+108

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • 1BRowdy Tellez10-day IL
  • LFGarrett Mitchell60-day IL
  • RFTyrone TaylorRest
  • PWade Miley15-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • CFCristian Pache10-day IL
  • 2BJosh Harrison10-day IL
  • PJose Alvarado15-day IL
WSW 7 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)88°86°84°82°
Humidity50%54%56%60%
Precipitation39%45%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearPartly CloudyClearClear
WindWSW 7 mphWNW 5 mphW 3 mphWSW 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+174+172+157+171+167+171+172+176.6
Phillies-190-186-192-187-177-187-177-176.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+180+175+168+170+167+165+175+176.6
Phillies-220-190-185-205-184-195-184-176.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from +164 to +157
Phillies ML moved from -210 to -216

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from +177 to +170
Phillies ML moved from -197 to -205

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-115+1½-128+1½-130+1½-133+1½-135+1½-133+1½-128+1½-122
Phillies-1½-105-1½+112-1½+110-1½+113-1½+115-1½+113-1½+115-1½+122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-110+1½-125+1½-135+1½-140+1½-125+1½-140+1½-125+1½-122
Phillies-1½-110-1½+105-1½+117-1½+118-1½+105-1½+120-1½+120-1½+122

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9½+102o9½-105o9½-102o9½+100o9½-102o9½+102o9½+107
Underu9-110u9½-118u9½-115u9½-118u9½-120u9½-118u9½-115u9½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9½+100o9½-105o9½+100o9½+100o9-115o9-115o9½+107
Underu9-105u9½-120u9½-115u9½-120u9½-120u9-105u9½-115u9½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-120 to u9-105