Phillies at Marlins

Updated
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
50.0%50.0%
Phillies WinMarlins Win
3.95Projected Runs 3.96
3Final Score 7

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
188-54.31.097

Jesús Luzardo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
187-53.321.155

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 3-5 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Ranger Suárez • MIA: Braxton Garrett+107
W 4-3 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Zack Wheeler • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-131
W 3-1 at Tampa Bay RaysPHI: Cristopher Sánchez • TBR: Shawn Armstrong+127
W 8-4 at Tampa Bay RaysPHI: Taijuan Walker • TBR: Zack Littell+112
W 3-1 at Tampa Bay RaysPHI: Aaron Nola • TBR: Zach Eflin+133
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 3-5 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suárez • MIA: Braxton Garrett-110
L 4-3 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+125
L 3-0 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jack Flaherty • MIA: Eury Pérez-123
W 9-10 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Matthew Liberatore • MIA: Bryan Hoeing-109
W 2-15 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Adam Wainwright • MIA: Jesús Luzardo-173

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PSeranthony Dominguez15-day IL
  • DHBryce HarperRest

Miami Marlins

Status
  • CFJonathan DavisOut
  • PEdward Cabrera10-day IL
  • CJacob StallingsRest
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr10-day IL
  • -Andrew Nardi15-day IL
S 7 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
From RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)91°92°92°91°
Humidity61%61%61%63%
Precipitation0%0%29%26%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearIsolated ThunderstormsIsolated Thunderstorms
WindS 7 mphSSE 8 mphSSE 9 mphSSE 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-108+105-101+101+104+101+105+105.7
Marlins-102-113-119-111-114-111-111-105.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+100+101-104+105+108+102+108+105.7
Marlins-110-111-106-115-118-118-106-105.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +102 to -101
Marlins ML moved from -123 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +104 to -104
Marlins ML moved from -114 to -122

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-230+1½-212+1½-225+1½-215+1½-210+1½-215+1½-210+1½-195
Marlins-1½+190-1½+183-1½+185-1½+185-1½+175-1½+185-1½+185-1½+195
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-190+1½-200+1½-220+1½-220+1½-200+1½-210+1½-200+1½-195
Marlins-1½+158-1½+175-1½+192-1½+180-1½+175-1½+175-1½+192-1½+195

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7-108o7-105o7-106o7-105o7-106o7-105o7+104
Underu7½-110u7-108u7-115u7-114u7-115u7-114u7-108u7-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7+110o7-105o7+100o7+105o7-110o7+110o7+104
Underu7½-110u7-130u7-115u7-120u7-125u7-110u7-110u7-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7+107 to o7-108
The Under moved from u7-115 to u7-125

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7+105 to o7-110
The Under moved from u7-120 to u7-130