Pirates at Padres

Updated
Rank24
R/G4.2
RA/G4.6
46.8%53.2%
Pirates WinPadres Win
3.99Projected Runs 4.32
2Final Score 8
Rank4
R/G4.8
RA/G4.2
Rank24
R/G4.2
RA/G4.6
Rank4
R/G4.8
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2310-63.561.225

Martín Pérez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
182-54.781.51

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 0-3 at San Diego PadresPIT: Luis Ortiz • SDP: Joe Musgrove+227
L 1-2 at San Diego PadresPIT: Jake Woodford • SDP: Joe Musgrove+181
L 5-6 at Los Angeles DodgersPIT: Bailey Falter • LAD: Tyler Glasnow+240
L 1-4 at Los Angeles DodgersPIT: Paul Skenes • LAD: River Ryan+103
L 5-9 at Los Angeles DodgersPIT: Mitch Keller • LAD: Jack Flaherty+214
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Luis Ortiz • SDP: Joe Musgrove-230
W 1-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jake Woodford • SDP: Joe Musgrove-198
L 6-7 at Miami MarlinsSDP: Dylan Cease • MIA: Max Meyer-180
W 9-8 at Miami MarlinsSDP: Matt Waldron • MIA: Roddery Muñoz-180
W 6-2 at Miami MarlinsSDP: Martín Pérez • MIA: Edward Cabrera-125

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CFJoshua Palacios10-day IL
  • SSNick Gonzales10-day IL
  • PColin Holderman15-day IL
  • PCarmen Mlodzinski15-day IL
  • PMarco Gonzales60-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PWandy Peralta15-day IL
  • PStephen Kolek15-day IL
WSW 8 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)81°81°81°80°
Humidity60%59%58%59%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWSW 8 mphWSW 8 mphWSW 8 mphWSW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+120+118+117+120+122+120+122+124.3
Padres-130-128-140-130-132-130-128-124.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+119+114+119+118+125+119+125+124.3
Padres-129-124-130-133-135-129-124-124.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +122 to +116
Padres ML moved from -136 to -144

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 40.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +125 to +118
Padres ML moved from -134 to -142

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-173+1½-168+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-168+1½-162
Padres-1½+157-1½+152-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+162
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-180+1½-185+1½-180+1½-170+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-162
Padres-1½+160-1½+165-1½+160-1½+150-1½+150-1½+155-1½+165-1½+162

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-103o8½-105o8½-104o8-125o8½-104o8½-103o8½+105
Underu8-105u8½-113u8½-115u8½-116u8+105u8½-116u8+105u8½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-105o8-120o8-120o8½-105o8½-105o8-120o8½+105
Underu8-105u8½-115u8+100u8+100u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-120 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-115