Cubs at Reds

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
48.3%51.7%
Cubs WinReds Win
4.17Projected Runs 4.35
5Final Score 20
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Justin Steele (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-43.821.424

Hunter Greene (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-65.491.475

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 3-4 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • CIN: Luis Castillo+136
W 11-4 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Marcus Stroman • CIN: Tyler Mahle+104
W 7-4 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Drew Smyly • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez-124
W 4-5 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Merrill Kelly • CHC: Wade Miley-125
L 7-6 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Madison Bumgarner • CHC: Justin Steele-130
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • CIN: Luis Castillo-143
L 11-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Marcus Stroman • CIN: Tyler Mahle-110
L 7-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Drew Smyly • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+116
W 3-2 at Toronto Blue JaysCIN: Graham Ashcraft • TOR: Yusei Kikuchi+225
L 1-3 at Toronto Blue JaysCIN: Hunter Greene • TOR: Alek Manoah+230

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PAlec Mills60-day IL
  • CFJason Heyward10-day IL
  • CWillson ContrerasUnknown
  • PSean NewcombUnknown
  • CFMichael Hermosillo10-day IL
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • PEthan Roberts10-day IL
  • -Michael RuckerUnknown
  • CYan Gomes10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • DHJake Fraley10-day IL
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • 2BDonovan Solano60-day IL
  • PConnor Overton60-day IL
  • PNick LodoloOut
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
  • RFTyler NaquinRest
  • 3BMike MoustakasRest
SSE 12 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)70°72°73°75°
Humidity92%88%84%83%
Precipitation1%35%35%54%
ConditionOvercastPossible Light RainPossible Light RainRain
WindSSE 12 mphS 13 mphS 14 mphS 13 mph
Will Little
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-140-112-110-109-110-110-109-104.4
Reds+130-108+100-101+100+100+100+104.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-115-106-108-108-112-109-106-104.4
Reds+105-104-102-102+102-101+102+104.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -114 to -120
Reds ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -118 to -124
Reds ML moved from +100 to -102

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+110-1½+140-1½+141-1½+145-1½+141-1½+141-1½+145-1½+149
Reds+1½-130+1½-165+1½-161+1½-165+1½-161+1½-161+1½-161+1½-149
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+125-1½+145-1½+150-1½+145-1½+140-1½+145-1½+150-1½+149
Reds+1½-145+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-149

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9-105o9-103o9-110o9-105o9-103o9-103o9+104
Underu8½-110u9-115u9-117u9-110u9-115u9-117u9-110u9-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9-110o9-115o8½-130o9-105o9+100o9+100o9+104
Underu8½+100u9-110u9-105u8½+110u9-115u9-120u9-105u9-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o8½-130
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-110
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8½-105