Red Sox at Astros

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
48.7%51.3%
Red Sox WinAstros Win
4.33Projected Runs 4.48
7Final Score 5
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Chris Sale (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
135-34.51.118

José Urquidy (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-35.211.421

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 3-7 at Houston AstrosBOS: Tanner Houck • HOU: Justin Verlander+112
L 4-9 at Houston AstrosBOS: James Paxton • HOU: Cristian Javier+115
W 6-5 at New York YankeesBOS: Josh Winckowski • NYY: Clarke Schmidt+105
W 8-1 at New York YankeesBOS: Kutter Crawford • NYY: Gerrit Cole+146
W 8-3 at New York YankeesBOS: Brayan Bello • NYY: Jhony Brito-124
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 3-7 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Tanner Houck • HOU: Justin Verlander-120
W 4-9 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: James Paxton • HOU: Cristian Javier-120
L 7-6 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Emerson Hancock • HOU: Hunter Brown-180
L 10-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • HOU: Framber Valdez-138
L 2-0 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryce Miller • HOU: J.P. France-138

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • LFMasataka YoshidaRest
  • -Joely Rodriguez15-day IL
  • 2BLuis UriasRest
  • CFJarren Duran10-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • -Phil Maton15-day IL
  • SSGrae Kessinger10-day IL
  • DHYordan AlvarezUnknown
SSE 9 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)98°95°91°89°
Humidity42%46%52%57%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSE 9 mphSSE 8 mphS 7 mphSSW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+100-103-110-107-105-107-103-101.9
Astros-110-105-110-103-105-103-103+101.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+100-102-108-102-105-106-102-101.9
Astros-110-108-102-108-105-110-102+101.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -101 to -107
Astros ML moved from -118 to -124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -102 to -108
Astros ML moved from -108 to -114

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-205+1½-207+1½-220+1½-210+1½-210+1½-210+1½-207+1½-190
Astros-1½+175-1½+178-1½+180-1½+180-1½+175-1½+180-1½+180-1½+190
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-195+1½-200+1½-210+1½-210+1½-200+1½-220+1½-200+1½-190
Astros-1½+162-1½+175-1½+184-1½+175-1½+175-1½+180-1½+184-1½+190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½-118o8½-115o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-104
Underu9-115u8½+102u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½+102u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9-105o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-104
Underu9-110u9-115u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u9-115u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½+107 to u8½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½-110