Phillies at Braves

Updated
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
43.5%56.5%
Phillies WinBraves Win
3.43Projected Runs 4.12
8Final Score 6
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
179-43.431.04

Max Fried (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
167-32.911.094

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 2-10 at Chicago CubsPHI: Cristopher Sanchez • CHC: Jameson Taillon-119
W 5-3 at Chicago CubsPHI: Zack Wheeler • CHC: Shota Imanaga-107
W 6-4 at Chicago CubsPHI: Michael Mercado • CHC: Hayden Wesneski+110
W 6-7 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Yonny Chirinos • PHI: Ranger Suárez-250
L 3-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Roddery Muñoz • PHI: Aaron Nola-235
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 4-2 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • ATL: Charlie Morton-120
W 1-3 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Jordan Hicks • ATL: Chris Sale-196
L 5-3 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Hayden Birdsong • ATL: Reynaldo Lopez-187
L 4-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bailey Falter • ATL: Spencer Schwellenbach-187
W 1-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • ATL: Max Fried-132

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • 1BBryce Harper10-day IL
  • LFKyle Schwarber10-day IL
  • PTaijuan Walker15-day IL
  • CJ.T. Realmuto10-day IL
  • PSpencer Turnbull15-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • CFMichael Harris II10-day IL
  • 3BBrian Anderson10-day IL
  • PHurston Waldrep15-day IL
  • SSOrlando ArciaUnknown
  • PHuascar Ynoa60-day IL
  • PRay KerrOut for Season
  • PSpencer StriderOut for Season
WSW 7 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)87°84°82°81°
Humidity68%74%78%81%
Precipitation40%43%49%47%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWSW 7 mphWSW 6 mphSW 4 mphW 2 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+120+121+119+122+123+122+123+126.7
Braves-130-131-142-133-133-133-131-126.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+119+122+122+119+120+121+122+126.7
Braves-130-132-133-134-130-131-130-126.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +126 to +117
Braves ML moved from -145 to -154

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +126 to +120
Braves ML moved from -133 to -140

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-180+1½-168+1½-185+1½-178+1½-180+1½-178+1½-168+1½-165
Braves-1½+160-1½+152-1½+160-1½+158-1½+160-1½+158-1½+160-1½+165
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-187+1½-180+1½-185+1½-180+1½-185+1½-175+1½-180+1½-165
Braves-1½+165-1½+160-1½+163-1½+160-1½+165-1½+155-1½+165-1½+165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½+107o7½+100o7½+101o7½+100o7½+101o7½+107o7½+110
Underu7½+100u7½-123u7½-120u7½-121u7½-120u7½-121u7½-120u7½-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½+100o7½-105o7½-105o7½-110o7½-105o7½+100o7½+110
Underu7½+100u7½-120u7½-115u7½-115u7½-110u7½-115u7½-110u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115