Pirates at Brewers

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
33.6%66.4%
Pirates WinBrewers Win
3.03Projected Runs 4.73
2Final Score 3
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Bailey Falter (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
70-75.131.438

Corbin Burnes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
229-63.441.05

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 8-4 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Quinn Priester • MIL: Colin Rea+169
L 1-14 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Mitch Keller • MIL: Adrian Houser+115
L 6-3 vs Detroit TigersDET: Eduardo Rodriguez • PIT: Osvaldo Bido+115
W 1-4 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matt Manning • PIT: Johan Oviedo-115
W 4-6 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Cristopher Sánchez • PIT: Rich Hill+136
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 8-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Quinn Priester • MIL: Colin Rea-170
W 1-14 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • MIL: Adrian Houser-118
L 2-3 at Washington NationalsMIL: Wade Miley • WSN: MacKenzie Gore-125
W 6-4 at Washington NationalsMIL: Freddy Peralta • WSN: Josiah Gray-158
L 3-5 at Washington NationalsMIL: Corbin Burnes • WSN: Jake Irvin-200

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • RFJack SuwinskiRest
  • 3BJared TrioloRest
  • 1BConnor JoeRest
  • SSTucupita Marcano60-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PJustin Wilson15-day IL
  • PJulio Teheran15-day IL
  • DHJesse Winker10-day IL
  • LFGarrett Mitchell60-day IL
ENE 10 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)78°76°73°72°
Humidity62%66%72%77%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearMostly Clear
WindENE 10 mphENE 9 mphNE 8 mphNE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+209+221+210+219+222+219+222+226.8
Brewers-234-251-260-246-245-246-245-226.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+224+210+224+215+220+220+224+226.8
Brewers-250-250-250-267-250-270-250-226.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +210 to +201
Brewers ML moved from -244 to -251

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +210 to +200
Brewers ML moved from -260 to -270

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+105+1½+112+1½+105+1½+105+1½+110+1½+105+1½+112+1½+114
Brewers-1½-125-1½-128-1½-125-1½-125-1½-130-1½-125-1½-125-1½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+108+1½+110+1½+108+1½+115+1½+110+1½+110+1½+115+1½+114
Brewers-1½-126-1½-130-1½-126-1½-135-1½-130-1½-130-1½-126-1½-114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-118o7½-103o7½-110o7½-110o7½-105o7½-110o7½-103o7½+100
Underu8+102u7½-113u7½-110u7½-110u7½-115u7½-110u7½-110u7½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7½-105o7½+100o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½+100o7½+100
Underu8-105u7½-115u7½-120u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-115