Cubs at Padres

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
43.7%56.3%
Cubs WinPadres Win
3.85Projected Runs 4.52
2Final Score 1
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Jameson Taillon (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
80-38.041.691

Michael Wacha (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
105-13.451.099

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Zach Eflin • CHC: Justin Steele+129
W 1-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Shane McClanahan • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+164
W 0-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Taj Bradley • CHC: Marcus Stroman+109
L 8-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • CHC: Drew Smyly-165
L 8-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Brandon Williamson • CHC: Jameson Taillon-160
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 10-1 at Miami MarlinsSDP: Joe Musgrove • MIA: Jesús Luzardo-109
L 1-2 at Miami MarlinsSDP: Blake Snell • MIA: Braxton Garrett-109
W 9-4 at Miami MarlinsSDP: Ryan Weathers • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+129
L 7-10 at New York YankeesSDP: Yu Darvish • NYY: Gerrit Cole+129
L 2-3 at New York YankeesSDP: Michael Wacha • NYY: Luis Severino+140

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PAdrian Sampson60-day IL
  • PNick BurdiUnknown
  • -Brad BoxbergerUnknown
  • CFCody Bellinger10-day IL
  • 1BMatt MervisRest
  • PJustin SteeleQuestionable

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PLuis GarciaUnknown
  • 2BHa Seong KimRest
  • PSeth LugoUnknown
  • 3BManny MachadoUnknown
  • CAustin NolaRest
  • DHNelson Cruz10-day IL
WNW 9 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)67°65°63°62°
Humidity67%71%75%78%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWNW 9 mphWNW 8 mphWNW 7 mphNW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+157+160+151+161+160+161+161+166.1
Padres-171-173-183-175-170-175-170-166.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+140+160+155+150+151+155+160+166.1
Padres-165-175-171-178-165-180-165-166.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +148 to +139
Padres ML moved from -172 to -178

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +162 to +155
Padres ML moved from -170 to -178

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-135+1½-128+1½-125+1½-135+1½-135+1½-127+1½-125+1½-116
Padres-1½+115-1½+112-1½+105-1½+115-1½+115-1½+107-1½+115-1½+116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-150+1½-130+1½-135+1½-135+1½-140+1½-130+1½-130+1½-116
Padres-1½+126-1½+110-1½+117-1½+115-1½+120-1½+110-1½+120-1½+116

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+105o9+102o8½-125o9-105o9+100o9-105o9+102o9+104
Underu9-125u9-118u8½+105u9-115u9-120u9-115u9-115u9-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-120o8½-125o8½-120o8½-125o8½-120o8½-120o9+104
Underu8½-100u8½+100u8½+105u8½-100u8½+105u8½+100u8½+105u9-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under