Pirates at Brewers

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
30.0%70.0%
Pirates WinBrewers Win
2.89Projected Runs 4.93
5Final Score 7
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Bryse Wilson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
152-86.011.487

Corbin Burnes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
259-62.840.965

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 5-0 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Roansy Contreras • PHI: Noah Syndergaard+220
L 0-6 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Tyler Beede • PHI: Kyle Gibson+250
L 4-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Bryse Wilson • PHI: Bailey Falter+235
L 14-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Kyle Wright • PIT: Mitch Keller+240
L 6-1 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Max Fried • PIT: JT Brubaker+240
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 7-9 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Adrian Sampson • MIL: Eric Lauer-165
W 0-7 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Drew Smyly • MIL: Brandon Woodruff-185
L 4-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • MIL: Freddy Peralta-151
L 6-12 at Los Angeles DodgersMIL: Adrian Houser • LAD: Andrew Heaney+225
L 1-10 at Los Angeles DodgersMIL: Corbin Burnes • LAD: Tony Gonsolin+140

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PColin HoldermanUnknown
  • CRoberto PerezOut for Season
  • 3BKe'Bryan HayesRest
  • 2BDiego CastilloRest
  • PBlake Cederlind60-day IL
  • -Yerry De Los Santos60-day IL
  • PDavid BednarUnknown
  • PDillon PetersUnknown

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PTrevor GottUnknown
  • LFJonathan Davis10-day IL
  • 3BLuis UriasRest
  • CFTyrone TaylorRest
  • 3BMichael Brosseau10-day IL
  • PAaron AshbyUnknown
  • CAlex Jackson60-day IL
WSW 10 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
To LeftModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)78°75°73°71°
Humidity78%80%84%85%
Precipitation2%3%3%4%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWSW 10 mphWSW 11 mphW 10 mphW 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+287+280+265+286+264+286+286+292.2
Brewers-325-330-335-324-324-324-324-292.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+260+280+260+265+280+280+280+292.2
Brewers-335-340-310-340-340-320-310-292.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +260 to +250
Brewers ML moved from -300 to -321

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +280 to +270
Brewers ML moved from -330 to -340

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+122+1½+142+1½+140+1½+140+1½+140+1½+140+1½+142+1½+143
Brewers-1½-138-1½-158-1½-165-1½-160-1½-160-1½-160-1½-158-1½-143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+120+1½+140+1½+138+1½+140+1½+135+1½+135+1½+140+1½+143
Brewers-1½-140-1½-160-1½-157-1½-160-1½-155-1½-155-1½-155-1½-143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-108o7½-105o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-105o7½+100
Underu7½-110u7½-108u7½-115u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-108u7½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½+100
Underu7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under