Cubs at Reds

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
54.1%45.9%
Cubs WinReds Win
4.68Projected Runs 4.25
5Final Score 8
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Keegan Thompson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
159-53.361.242

Justin Dunn (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-15.791.5

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 7-2 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Adrian Sampson • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+116
W 4-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCHC: Drew Smyly • CIN: Nick Lodolo+109
W 2-4 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • CHC: Justin Steele-153
L 6-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Paolo Espino • CHC: Marcus Stroman-208
W 3-6 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Anibal Sanchez • CHC: Keegan Thompson-188
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 7-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Adrian Sampson • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-118
L 4-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Drew Smyly • CIN: Nick Lodolo-110
L 2-10 at New York MetsCIN: T.J. Zeuch • NYM: Taijuan Walker+280
L 2-6 at New York MetsCIN: Mike Minor • NYM: Carlos Carrasco+255
L 1-5 at New York MetsCIN: Justin Dunn • NYM: Chris Bassitt+297

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 2BNick MadrigalRest
  • 1BAlfonso RivasRest
  • CWillson ContrerasRest

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 2BJonathan IndiaQuestionable
  • 3BMike Moustakas10-day IL
  • CTyler Stephenson10-day IL
  • PHunter GreeneUnknown
SSW 7 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)77°79°79°80°
Humidity68%65%63%62%
Precipitation8%17%11%8%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyOvercastMostly Cloudy
WindSSW 7 mphSSW 7 mphSW 6 mphSSW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-120-141-150-145-145-145-141-135.1
Reds+110+131+126+134+133+134+134+135.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-135-144-149-155-155-142-142-135.1
Reds+125+134+136+130+142+132+142+135.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -138 to -145
Reds ML moved from +136 to +128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Reds: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 60.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -140 to -151
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+135-1½+112-1½+100-1½+100-1½+104-1½+104-1½+112-1½+119
Reds+1½-160+1½-128+1½-120+1½-120+1½-124+1½-124+1½-120+1½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+115-1½+105-1½+106-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+119
Reds+1½-135+1½-125+1½-124+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-124+1½-119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9½-103o9½-105o9½+102o9½+102o9½+102o9½+102o9½+109
Underu9+100u9½-113u9½-115u9½-122u9½-122u9½-122u9½-113u9½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-125o9½+100o9-120o9½+109
Underu9+100u9+100u9+100u9+100u9+105u9½-120u9+105u9½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9+105 to u9-105