Twins at Braves

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
42.3%57.7%
Twins WinBraves Win
2.91Projected Runs 3.72
1Final Score 4
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
154-12.561.296

Spencer Strider (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
158-23.931.146

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 6-3 at Detroit TigersMIN: Bailey Ober • DET: Michael Lorenzen-115
L 2-3 at Detroit TigersMIN: Pablo Lopez • DET: Reese Olson-154
W 4-1 at Detroit TigersMIN: Kenta Maeda • DET: Joey Wentz-125
W 0-6 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Justin Garza • MIN: Joe Ryan-135
W 4-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Garrett Whitlock • MIN: Sonny Gray-113
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 7-6 at Cincinnati RedsATL: Charlie Morton • CIN: Levi Stoudt-225
W 7-6 at Cincinnati RedsATL: Jared Shuster • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-126
L 10-11 at Cincinnati RedsATL: AJ Smith-Shawver • CIN: Luke Weaver-141
W 5-1 at Philadelphia PhilliesATL: Bryce Elder • PHI: Aaron Nola+110
W 4-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesATL: Spencer Strider • PHI: Ranger Suarez-146

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • 2BJorge Polanco10-day IL
  • CChristian VazquezRest
  • PCaleb Thielbar15-day IL
  • DHByron BuxtonRest

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PJesse Chavez15-day IL
  • CSean MurphyRest
  • PMax Fried60-day IL
W 10 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)89°87°83°81°
Humidity53%57%62%66%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindW 10 mphW 8 mphWSW 6 mphWSW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+166+195+180+188+190+188+195+193.6
Braves-181-215-220-205-210-205-205-193.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+166+200+195+192+201+190+201+193.6
Braves-183-240-215-235-225-230-215-193.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 30.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +195 to +180
Braves ML moved from -230 to -240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 40.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 30.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +206 to +195
Braves ML moved from -220 to -240

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-120+1½-103+1½-105+1½-110+1½-105+1½-110+1½-103+1½+100
Braves-1½+100-1½-113-1½-115-1½-110-1½-115-1½-110-1½-110-1½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-120+1½-105+1½-107+1½-110+1½-105+1½-110+1½-105+1½+100
Braves-1½+100-1½-115-1½-111-1½-110-1½-115-1½-110-1½-110-1½+100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+105o8½-108o8½-105o8½-114o8½-105o8½-114o8½-105o8½-104
Underu8½-125u8½-108u8½-115u8½-106u8½-115u8½-106u8½-106u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½+100o8½+100o8½-105o8½-105o8½+100o8½+100o8½-104
Underu8½-115u8½-120u8½-120u8½-115u8½-115u8½-120u8½-115u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-114
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8½-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under