Royals at Nationals

Updated
Rank14
R/G4.6
RA/G4.0
55.6%44.4%
Royals WinNationals Win
4.53Projected Runs 3.94
1Final Score 0
Rank25
R/G4.0
RA/G4.7
Rank14
R/G4.6
RA/G4.0
Rank25
R/G4.0
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Michael Lorenzen (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
237-63.431.254

Mitchell Parker (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
287-104.441.301

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 2-0 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Blake Snell • KCR: Seth Lugo-106
L 9-0 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Landen Roupp • KCR: Brady Singer-138
L 2-1 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Mason Black • KCR: Michael Wacha-190
L 4-2 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tarik Skubal • KCR: Alec Marsh+122
L 3-1 vs Detroit TigersDET: Casey Mize • KCR: Cole Ragans-154
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 0-5 at Chicago CubsWSN: Jake Irvin • CHC: Shota Imanaga+185
W 5-1 at Chicago CubsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+122
L 1-3 at Chicago CubsWSN: Trevor Williams • CHC: Jameson Taillon+155
L 6-7 at Chicago CubsWSN: Trevor Williams • CHC: Javier Assad+165
L 0-10 at New York MetsWSN: DJ Herz • NYM: Jose Quintana+155

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • PMichael LorenzenNamed Starter
  • PJames McArthur15-day IL
  • PWill Smith15-day IL
  • DHVinnie Pasquantino10-day IL
  • PChris Stratton15-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PJoan Adon15-day IL
  • RFAlex Call10-day IL
ESE 6 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)71°70°69°68°
Humidity78%80%82%84%
Precipitation13%18%18%15%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindESE 6 mphESE 5 mphESE 5 mphESE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals-145-188-202-190-188-190-188-179.5
Nationals+133+172+166+174+178+174+178+179.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals-158-200-185-190-190-200-185-179.5
Nationals+145+180+168+175+172+180+180+179.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 0.0%
Nationals: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Nationals: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from -182 to -189
Nationals ML moved from +160 to +150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 0.0%
Nationals: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Nationals: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from -180 to -200
Nationals ML moved from +156 to +144

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals-1½+100-1½-113-1½-120-1½-118-1½-115-1½-118-1½-113-1½-107
Nationals+1½-120+1½-103+1½+100+1½-102+1½-105+1½-102+1½+100+1½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals-1½+100-1½-120-1½-115-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-115-1½-107
Nationals+1½-120+1½+100+1½-103+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+107

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7-113o7-110o7-112o7-115o7-112o7-110o7-102
Underu8-105u7-103u7-110u7-108u7-105u7-108u7-103u7+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7-115o7-115o7-120o7-115o7-115o7-115o7-102
Underu8-105u7-105u7-105u7+100u7-105u7-105u7+100u7+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+105 to o7½-105
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-105