Mets at Braves

Updated
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
42.9%57.1%
Mets WinBraves Win
3.58Projected Runs 4.32
1Final Score 5
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Luis Severino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3011-63.791.225

Spencer Schwellenbach (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
197-73.611.103

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • NYM: Tylor Megill+127
W 3-6 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suárez • NYM: Sean Manaea-105
L 12-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Cristopher Sanchez • NYM: David Peterson+115
W 6-10 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Taijuan Walker • NYM: Luis Severino-133
W 0-10 vs Washington NationalsWSN: DJ Herz • NYM: Jose Quintana-165
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 5-4 at Miami MarlinsATL: Grant Holmes • MIA: Darren McCaughan-190
W 6-2 at Miami MarlinsATL: Max Fried • MIA: Adam Oller-250
L 3-4 at Miami MarlinsATL: Charlie Morton • MIA: Valente Bellozo-200
W 15-3 at Cincinnati RedsATL: Chris Sale • CIN: Julian Aguiar-200
W 7-1 at Cincinnati RedsATL: Spencer Schwellenbach • CIN: Jakob Junis-127

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • PPaul Blackburn15-day IL
  • PDedniel Nunez15-day IL
  • 2BJeff McNeilOut for Season
  • SSFrancisco LindorRest

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • 3BAustin RileyOut for Season
  • PReynaldo Lopez15-day IL
SSW 8 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
From RightVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)85°82°79°77°
Humidity55%61%67%72%
Precipitation0%5%7%6%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSW 8 mphSSW 6 mphS 6 mphS 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+121+131+129+130+136+130+136+135.0
Braves-132-141-154-142-146-142-141-135.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+125+128+131+133+129+132+133+135.0
Braves-135-138-143-148-140-144-138-135.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +131 to +124
Braves ML moved from -149 to -155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +129 to +120
Braves ML moved from -135 to -146

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-175+1½-163+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-163+1½-153
Braves-1½+155-1½+147-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+147-1½+153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-180+1½-170+1½-165+1½-160+1½-170+1½-165+1½-160+1½-153
Braves-1½+160-1½+150-1½+146-1½+140-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o7½-113o7½-120o7½-118o7½-115o7½-118o7½-113o7½-107
Underu8½-110u7½-103u7½+100u7½-102u7½-105u7½-102u7½+100u7½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7½-110o7½-120o7½-115o7½-115o7½-110o7½-110o7½-107
Underu8-105u7½-110u7½+100u7½-105u7½-105u7½-110u7½+100u7½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u8-120 to u7½-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-120