Phillies at Nationals

Updated
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
56.6%43.4%
Phillies WinNationals Win
4.40Projected Runs 3.71
5Final Score 1
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Bailey Falter (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
145-44.211.234

Erick Fedde (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
256-115.341.571

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 0-2 at Chicago CubsPHI: Ranger Suarez • CHC: Javier Assad-174
L 2-4 at Chicago CubsPHI: Aaron Nola • CHC: Hayden Wesneski-180
L 1-2 at Chicago CubsPHI: Zack Wheeler • CHC: Marcus Stroman-160
L 8-7 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • PHI: Kyle Gibson+130
L 6-3 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Kyle Wright • PHI: Bailey Falter+112
Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Jake Odorizzi • WSN: Josiah Gray+185
L 8-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Kyle Muller • WSN: Paolo Espino+185
L 8-0 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Bryce Elder • WSN: Cory Abbott+225
W 6-1 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Anibal Sanchez • MIA: Edward Cabrera+155
L 1-4 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Erick Fedde • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+189

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • SSEdmundo Sosa10-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • CKeibert Ruiz10-day IL
  • DHNelson CruzQuestionable
  • PPatrick CorbinQuestionable
  • PCade CavalliUnknown
NE 6 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
From RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)63°64°62°60°
Humidity65%66%72%74%
Precipitation0%2%9%19%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindNE 6 mphNE 6 mphNE 10 mphNE 12 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-171-225-190-227-220-227-190-206.2
Nationals+157+200+156+205+190+205+205+206.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-167-230-222-240-220-230-220-206.2
Nationals+157+195+200+196+197+205+205+206.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 40.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 80.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -213 to -220
Nationals ML moved from +188 to +174

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 40.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -220 to -230
Nationals ML moved from +197 to +189

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½-105-1½-128-1½-110-1½-140-1½-138-1½-140-1½-110-1½-119
Nationals+1½-115+1½+112+1½-110+1½+120+1½+118+1½+120+1½+120+1½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½-105-1½-140-1½-134-1½-140-1½-140-1½-125-1½-125-1½-119
Nationals+1½-115+1½+120+1½+116+1½+120+1½+120+1½+105+1½+120+1½+119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-125o8½-103o8½+100o8½+102o8½+102o8½+102o8½+102o8½+100
Underu8½+105u8½-113u8½-120u8½-122u8½-122u8½-122u8½-113u8½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8½-105o8-120o8-115o8½-105o8-115o8-115o8½+100
Underu9-120u8½-115u8+100u8-105u8½-115u8-105u8½-115u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+105 to o8½-101
The Under moved from u8½-118 to u8½-124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-125