Reds at Cubs

Updated

Cincinnati Reds

(77-85)
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
46.8%53.2%
Reds WinCubs Win
3.73Projected Runs 4.06
1Final Score 6

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Graham Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
175-44.181.361

Adrian Sampson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
173-53.231.246

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 3-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Luis Cessa • PIT: Bryse Wilson+108
L 1-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Hunter Greene • PIT: Mitch Keller+103
L 3-8 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Chase Anderson • PIT: Roansy Contreras+152
W 1-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • CIN: Nick Lodolo+140
L 10-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+193
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suarez • CHC: Javier Assad+165
W 2-4 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • CHC: Hayden Wesneski+167
W 1-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • CHC: Marcus Stroman+151
W 8-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Adrian Sampson • PIT: Luis Ortiz+121
L 0-6 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Wade Miley • PIT: Johan Oviedo-104

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PMike MinorUnknown
  • PJeff Hoffman60-day IL
  • PJustin DunnUnknown
  • CFNick SenzelOut for Season
  • 3BMike MoustakasOut for Season

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PJustin SteeleUnknown
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • PDrew SmylyOut
  • PWade MileyQuestionable
  • LFRafael OrtegaOut for Season
  • RFSeiya SuzukiQuestionable
E 5 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)62°62°62°62°
Humidity63%61%60%59%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindE 5 mphENE 6 mphENE 7 mphENE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+143+144+136+143+143+143+144+147.0
Cubs-155-154-162-155-155-155-154-147.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+133+147+140+135+142+142+147+147.0
Cubs-143-157-154-160-155-152-152-147.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +132 to +126
Cubs ML moved from -146 to -157

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +145 to +138
Cubs ML moved from -144 to -155

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-168+1½-153+1½-160+1½-156+1½-156+1½-156+1½-153+1½-148
Cubs-1½+152-1½+137-1½+135-1½+136-1½+136-1½+136-1½+137-1½+148
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-110+1½-155+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-148
Cubs-1½-110-1½+135-1½+141-1½+145-1½+140-1½+135-1½+141-1½+148

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-118o7-113o7-115o7-118o7-118o7-118o7-113o7-104
Underu7+102u7-103u7-105u7-102u7-102u7-102u7-102u7+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+100o7-125o7-110o7-115o7-110o7-110o7-110o7-104
Underu7½-120u7+105u7-110u7-105u7-110u7-110u7+105u7+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-110 to o7-120
The Under moved from u7-102 to u7-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-115 to o7-125
The Under moved from u7+100 to u7-110
Phillies at Nationals
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