Reds at Pirates

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
50.7%49.3%
Reds WinPirates Win
4.39Projected Runs 4.32
3Final Score 4
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Luis Cessa (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
84-44.781.349

Bryse Wilson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
193-95.951.486

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 1-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Hunter Greene • PIT: Mitch Keller+103
L 3-8 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Chase Anderson • PIT: Roansy Contreras+152
W 1-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • CIN: Nick Lodolo+140
L 10-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+193
L 5-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • CIN: Luis Cessa+148
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • PIT: Mitch Keller-110
W 3-8 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Chase Anderson • PIT: Roansy Contreras-155
L 8-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Adrian Sampson • PIT: Luis Ortiz-130
W 0-6 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Wade Miley • PIT: Johan Oviedo-104
L 6-5 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Javier Assad • PIT: Bryse Wilson-117

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PMike MinorUnknown
  • PJustin DunnUnknown
  • 3BMike MoustakasOut for Season
  • PJeff Hoffman60-day IL
  • 2BJonathan IndiaRest
  • CFNick SenzelOut for Season

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PJT BrubakerUnknown
  • 2BRodolfo CastroRest
  • CTyler Heineman10-day IL
WNW 3 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)56°58°57°57°
Humidity79%73%76%89%
Precipitation15%20%23%20%
ConditionMostly CloudyOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindWNW 3 mphNNW 4 mphNW 6 mphNW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+100+108-103+107+107+107+108+107.7
Pirates-110-117-117-117-117-117-117-107.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+102+104+104+107+105+108+108+107.7
Pirates-112-114-114-117-115-118-114-107.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +100 to -103
Pirates ML moved from -114 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +112 to +104
Pirates ML moved from -117 to -126

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-185+1½-202+1½-200+1½-199+1½-199+1½-199+1½-199+1½-180
Pirates-1½+160-1½+178-1½+170-1½+174-1½+174-1½+174-1½+178-1½+180
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-190+1½-190+1½-202+1½-190+1½-185+1½-185+1½-185+1½-180
Pirates-1½+170-1½+170-1½+178-1½+170-1½+165-1½+165-1½+178-1½+180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-103o8+100o8+100o8+100o8+100o8+100o8+109
Underu8-105u8-113u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-113u8-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8+100o8+102o7½-115o8+100o8+100o8+102o8+109
Underu8-105u8-120u8-122u7½-105u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8-113 to u8-124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-120 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8-110 to u7½-105